NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf440e62234f2ee9be68a6ef7cad4bbf8a0aa8591ca7393061bca614651dd7165
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Mavericks, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,596,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,638,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,596,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,796 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Bucks | 51c | 110,060$56,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,806.21 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…f2f9backed Bucks | 54c | 90,400$48,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,584.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5cebbacked Mavericks | 46c | 90,366$41,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,568.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Mavericks | 45c | 79,742$35,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,756.01 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mavericks | 49c | 64,888$31,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,596.8 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks | 45c | 38,170$17,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,004.64 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Bucks | 53c | 35,033$18,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,532.66 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mavericks | 50c | 33,897$17,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,114.78 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Mavericks | 47c | 33,763$15,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,993.96 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Mavericks | 55c | 32,899$18,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,065.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Mavericks | 56c | 32,078$17,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,948.87 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Mavericks | 48c | 30,210$14,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,577.22 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks | 23c | 29,290$6,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,757.97 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Bucks | 45c | 29,072$13,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,947.91 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Mavericks | 44c | 27,891$12,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,272 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Mavericks | 45c | 26,999$12,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,149.75 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Mavericks | 47c | 25,580$12,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,107.6 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Bucks | 58c | 25,317$14,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,644.69 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks | 43c | 25,300$10,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,878.99 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks | 1c | 25,180$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.8 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Bucks | 60c | 24,859$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,859.29 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 55c | 24,854$13,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,150.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bucks | 56c | 23,812$13,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,477.25 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Mavericks | 48c | 23,727$11,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,351.6 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Mavericks | 34c | 22,356$7,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,512.45 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Bucks | 52c | 21,632$11,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,470.51 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 22c | 20,858$4,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,608.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Mavericks | 43c | 20,600$8,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,858.02 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4c…8419backed Mavericks | 48c | 18,700$8,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,973.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe71a…66ebbacked Bucks | 52c | 18,700$9,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,973.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Mavericks | 48c | 18,080$8,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,644.79 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Bucks | 51c | 17,157$8,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,346.89 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Mavericks | 49c | 15,306$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Bucks | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,550.06 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…a339backed Mavericks | 57c | 14,746$8,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,405 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bucks | 50c | 14,234$7,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,118.69 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Mavericks | 46c | 12,996$6,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,035.38 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Bucks | 47c | 11,044$5,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,853.26 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks | 53c | 10,909$5,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,146.77 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Bucks | 54c | 10,140$5,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,664.4 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Mavericks | 51c | 10,012$5,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,098.71 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Bucks | 49c | 10,001$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100.51 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bucks | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300.01 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks | 45c | 9,937$4,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,449.1 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks | 44c | 9,815$4,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,318.63 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Mavericks | 16c | 9,762$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.08 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks | 32c | 9,373$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.65 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Bucks | 54c | 9,297$5,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.22 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Mavericks | 49c | 9,032$4,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,414.47 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks | 46c | 8,850$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,778.96 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bucks | 56c | 8,749$4,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.43 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Mavericks | 51c | 8,362$4,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,253.61 | 439 | 58.8%258 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Mavericks | 7c | 8,271$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.33 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Mavericks | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.96 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 52c | 7,629$3,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,652.05 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Mavericks | 50c | 7,603$3,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,802.61 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Bucks | 49c | 7,602$3,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,877.01 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Mavericks | 48c | 7,241$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.74 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Bucks | 55c | 7,169$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.95 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Mavericks | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8925…0d79backed Bucks | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Bucks | 44c | 6,974$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,905.52 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Mavericks | 49c | 6,968$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,414.19 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Mavericks | 1c | 6,778$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Bucks | 51c | 6,773$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.75 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Bucks | 49c | 6,767$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,465.87 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mavericks | 32c | 6,717$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.11 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Mavericks | 52c | 6,633$3,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430.87 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…c108backed Mavericks | 43c | 6,621$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.71 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Mavericks | 47c | 6,449$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mavericks | 44c | 6,140$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.95 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Mavericks | 49c | 6,087$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.51 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…6fdfbacked Mavericks | 48c | 6,018$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.72 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Mavericks | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Bucks | 51c | 5,490$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.2 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks | 49c | 5,434$2,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653.7 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Mavericks | 48c | 5,413$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587.58 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…a6eebacked Mavericks | 47c | 5,316$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Mavericks | 43c | 5,213$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.8 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…0488backed Mavericks | 48c | 5,158$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…baccbacked Mavericks | 0c | 5,125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…e102backed Bucks | 52c | 5,082$2,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Mavericks | 0c | 5,050$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Mavericks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Mavericks | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…1adbbacked Bucks | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.99 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Bucks | 49c | 5,000$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.99 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Mavericks | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.98 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Bucks | 45c | 5,000$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.31 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…31e0backed Bucks | 63c | 4,981$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Bucks | 52c | 4,950$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…b477backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,929$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bf…c6d2backed Bucks | 52c | 4,913$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813b…873ebacked Mavericks | 51c | 4,895$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdb…901ebacked Bucks | 49c | 4,890$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9068…2081backed Bucks | 49c | 4,885$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc99d…9687backed Mavericks | 51c | 4,880$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9a…9c31backed Bucks | 49c | 4,875$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…e80abacked Mavericks | 51c | 4,870$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Bucksthis page
- AJ Green: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Mavericks vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Mavericks vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5Over won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.