NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf191307fd9b6088b3027f015f4edb4e6e8dace8d05fb9c23a4f312c021f68684
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d04…9435backed Over | 51c | 16,500$8,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,085 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…30c8backed Under | 49c | 16,500$8,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,085 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…43cfbacked Under | 49c | 15,700$7,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,693 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb62…abbdbacked Over | 51c | 15,700$8,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,693 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb9…2396backed Over | 51c | 15,500$7,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,595 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc898…e5b3backed Under | 49c | 15,500$7,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,595 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 48c | 5,989$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.41 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 52c | 5,401$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808.97 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 2,083$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.33 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 77c | 1,959$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.58 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 31c | 1,562$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.26 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 1,047$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.08 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 53c | 938.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Under | 46c | 799.98$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.99 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 725.08$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.62 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e6…b2b5backed Under | 48c | 705$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…1056backed Over | 53c | 705$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.35 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Over | 54c | 660.93$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.03 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Over | 75c | 655$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 25c | 633.37$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…ecfbbacked Under | 24c | 631.85$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 621.74$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.95 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under | 53c | 581.13$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 47c | 496$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.88 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 46c | 471.41$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.62 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 398.36$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 384$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Under | 28c | 360.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 22c | 348.46$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 62c | 347$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.03 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 52c | 328.1$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.49 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 27c | 308.57$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 28c | 299.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.07 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Over | 48c | 294$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 22c | 282.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 275.16$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.33 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Under | 19c | 263.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 48c | 236.33$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 228$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 212.62$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 43c | 198.81$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 50c | 192$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Under | 53c | 191$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.18 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 42c | 155.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb612…2df3backed Over | 74c | 135.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 31c | 134.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba3…3d9bbacked Over | 52c | 134.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…bf25backed Over | 51c | 128.78$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Over | 68c | 125.23$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 76c | 123.58$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Over | 55c | 122.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5354…b0bdbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 113.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Under | 27c | 110.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141b…73bbbacked Over | 62c | 110.26$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Under | 40c | 102$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 102$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 53c | 102$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…168fbacked Over | 76c | 100.01$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…57c8backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 49c | 95.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 94.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 75c | 91.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 25c | 90.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 39c | 90.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…6c0bbacked Over | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c69…2e8bbacked Under | 51c | 89.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 29c | 81.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked Under | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 29c | 74.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 49c | 63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Under | 46c | 61.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Under | 19c | 60.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 54c | 59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Over | 54c | 55.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 48c | 55.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 26c | 50.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3b…5c15backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…1a9cbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…4389backed Over | 73c | 46.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 437 | 50.1%219 W · 218 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 28c | 46.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 71c | 45.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb4…4436backed Over | 47c | 42.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 50c | 42.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 68c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 27c | 41.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5this page
- AJ Green: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Mavericks vs. BucksBucks won
- Mavericks vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Mavericks vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5Over won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.