TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,623 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d04…9435backed Over51c16,500$8,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0852665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1869…30c8backed Under49c16,500$8,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0852755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a0…43cfbacked Under49c15,700$7,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6932356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb62…abbdbacked Over51c15,700$8,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,6932259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb9…2396backed Over51c15,500$7,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5952864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+30.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc898…e5b3backed Under49c15,500$7,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5952759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over48c5,989$2,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,115.4129055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under52c5,401$2,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,808.972,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1751,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under52c2,083$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.3350754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over77c1,959$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.581,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under31c1,562$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.2622836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Under52c1,058$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55015756.7%89 W · 68 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over53c1,047$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.082,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under53c938.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Under46c799.98$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.998744.8%39 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c725.08$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.624,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8e6…b2b5backed Under48c705$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c81…1056backed Over53c705$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.351266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Over54c660.93$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.0310459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Over75c655$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.823047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under25c633.37$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.341,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x993b…ecfbbacked Under24c631.85$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1497142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c621.74$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.959,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under53c581.13$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30816254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over47c496$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.881,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Over46c471.41$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.6213239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under26c398.36$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c384$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.322,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Under28c360.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.615839.7%23 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under22c348.46$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.381,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over62c347$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0337755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over52c328.1$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4915545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under27c308.57$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.362,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under28c299.85$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0752230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Over48c294$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.8816539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under22c282.56$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9779650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c275.16$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.331,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Under19c263.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015357.5%88 W · 65 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under48c236.33$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4415649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c228$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.721,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c212.62$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.674,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under47c199.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9424946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under43c198.81$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.383,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over50c192$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.632,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Under53c191$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1812642.1%53 W · 73 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807040%28 W · 42 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under42c155.71$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.021,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over73c140$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.831151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb612…2df3backed Over74c135.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.135149%25 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under31c134.79$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.631,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba3…3d9bbacked Over52c134.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc607…bf25backed Over51c128.78$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.751442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Over68c125.23$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1215650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over76c123.58$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308654.7%47 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Over55c122.03$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.145453.7%29 W · 25 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+40.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5354…b0bdbacked Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under53c113.18$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.982,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Under27c110.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9614243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x141b…73bbbacked Over62c110.26$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.051030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid-33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6380…e74fbacked Under40c102$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.81650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c102$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.021,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over53c102$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.941,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b4…168fbacked Over76c100.01$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.233158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe62e…d3e2backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4710644.3%47 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2984…57c8backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489053.3%48 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over49c95.37$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7968940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over48c94.9$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3584150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over75c91.07$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7734953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under25c90.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.691,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under39c90.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.483,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb1d…6c0bbacked Over47c90$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c69…2e8bbacked Under51c89.24$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.855728.1%16 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under29c81.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7444747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Under48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.46043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca5e…4a1cbacked Under20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under29c74.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7834641%142 W · 204 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under48c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3533442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.281,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over49c63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1349247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bbe…03c5backed Under46c61.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.655240.4%21 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99ba…6391backed Under19c60.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.27944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under54c59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0930840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x481d…48cfbacked Over54c55.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.917954.4%43 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over48c55.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.071,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Under26c50.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.155250%26 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3b…5c15backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2349351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c4…1a9cbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7239…4389backed Over73c46.4$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.743750.1%219 W · 218 L-1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under28c46.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8618140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over71c45.83$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.351,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb4…4436backed Over47c42.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.37875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over50c42.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.891,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over68c42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4480440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under27c41.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1162047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.