NBA · resolved market

Spread: Bucks (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe2f5a7905f2d9d98f58f0cb784a44848c230309dad12db6e1d390e5fa94ed8d

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bucksof Bucks, Mavericks
Resolved: Apr 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $187,221
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $187,103

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,221 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks	49c	59,646$29,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,226.71	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Bucks	51c	48,529$24,702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,827.12	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Bucks	51c	24,000$12,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,760	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Bucks	48c	15,784$7,556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,228.37	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks	48c	11,778$5,623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,154.91	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Mavericks	52c	5,584$2,919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,919.48	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9a…31e0backed Bucks	53c	4,546$2,425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,120.49	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Bucks	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,960	801	46.4%372 W · 429 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Mavericks	49c	3,680$1,803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,803.12	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks	50c	3,462$1,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,720.39	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Bucks	47c	3,244$1,512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,731.9	95	47.4%45 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Bucks	51c	3,200$1,632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,568	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Bucks	53c	2,992$1,578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,413.72	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Mavericks	51c	2,095$1,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,068.45	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mavericks	53c	2,044$1,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,082.29	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks	60c	1,959$1,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,177.27	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53c5…025abacked Bucks	41c	1,874$767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,107.09	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Bucks	50c	1,600$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks	52c	1,164$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.76	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Bucks	38c	1,054$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$653.2	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Mavericks	40c	1,044$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.52	181	40.3%73 W · 108 L	+24.4wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	+60.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Bucks	30c	910.98$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640.04	132	39.4%52 W · 80 L	-8.7wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Bucks	49c	612.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.24	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Mavericks	61c	596.75$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.65	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Mavericks	58c	565.81$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	111	42.3%47 W · 64 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc607…bf25backed Bucks	27c	528.89$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.49	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks	57c	514.69$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.52	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Mavericks	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	228	46.1%105 W · 123 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Bucks	51c	471.28$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.55	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	+5.6wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+40.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks	49c	425.66$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.09	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Bucks	36c	423.19$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.4	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3f…9b74backed Mavericks	61c	421.26$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.97	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks	37c	417.95$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.27	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c10…62dfbacked Mavericks	49c	401.99$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bba…a6eebacked Bucks	54c	400$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418d…baf6backed Bucks	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+57.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Mavericks	63c	323.25$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.44	349	53%185 W · 164 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Mavericks	49c	309.99$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.6	95	73.7%70 W · 25 L	+7.8wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Mavericks	49c	297.08$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.57	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Mavericks	29c	283$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.48	377	55.2%208 W · 169 L	+23.5wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+60.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e21…c6f4backed Mavericks	52c	276.38$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.59	132	65.2%86 W · 46 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed Mavericks	51c	273.58$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.21	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Bucks	51c	236.6$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.93	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa87f…68d1backed Bucks	45c	222.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Bucks	50c	212.96$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.61	116	50.9%59 W · 57 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Mavericks	62c	208.65$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.69	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Bucks	49c	203.06$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.56	82	32.9%27 W · 55 L	-15.2wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Bucks	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	382	42.9%164 W · 218 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Mavericks	62c	194.31$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.58	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4336…28a7backed Bucks	49c	186$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.12	86	51.2%44 W · 42 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad40…a697backed Bucks	48c	182.71$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.71	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Mavericks	19c	179.12$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.03	553	16.5%91 W · 462 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9683…108bbacked Bucks	58c	172.74$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.74	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Mavericks	61c	172.09$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.58	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Mavericks	50c	168$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	206	51%105 W · 101 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6c…1f67backed Mavericks	68c	165$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x09e8…e615backed Mavericks	68c	163.39$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.68per pick	68cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Mavericks	62c	157.85$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.47	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Mavericks	55c	155.24$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.13	142	43%61 W · 81 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe45a…95ebbacked Bucks	55c	151.84$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.88	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Mavericks	62c	150.42$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.26	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Mavericks	59c	150.4$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.73	657	62.3%409 W · 248 L	+27.9wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Bucks	38c	150.18$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.75	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2cc…a6f4backed Bucks	32c	150$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.64per pick	37cpaid	+178.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba2d…13a7backed Bucks	40c	150$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Mavericks	62c	146.8$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.02	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Mavericks	48c	128.18$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.87	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Mavericks	59c	128.16$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Mavericks	53c	125.57$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.58	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks	54c	125.4$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.28	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Bucks	37c	123.95$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.09	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9229…830bbacked Bucks	48c	107.8$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.39	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Mavericks	39c	106.81$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.75	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Bucks	38c	105.26$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.26	116	51.7%60 W · 56 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Bucks	41c	103.77$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.96	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab5a…8422backed Bucks	42c	102.61$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.56	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.58per pick	42cpaid	+138.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Mavericks	54c	101.97$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeca…8c27backed Mavericks	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	301	32.6%98 W · 203 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x481d…48cfbacked Bucks	42c	100$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	79	54.4%43 W · 36 L	+5.6wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+17%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67b4…19acbacked Mavericks	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2984…57c8backed Mavericks	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Mavericks	51c	98.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.25	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0ae…4ac8backed Bucks	49c	89.8$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.8	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Mavericks	51c	87.94$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.07	656	30.2%198 W · 458 L	-86.7wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Bucks	47c	85.11$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.11	226	46.9%106 W · 120 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f64…4b91backed Bucks	60c	83.23$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.23	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Bucks	43c	82.79$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.41	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7239…4389backed Bucks	48c	81.54$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.3	437	50.1%219 W · 218 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Bucks	55c	81.09$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.23	410	38%156 W · 254 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Bucks	64c	77.81$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.81	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Mavericks	15c	74.26$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.26	76	22.4%17 W · 59 L	+6.1wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+132.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Bucks	41c	73.37$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.37	134	41%55 W · 79 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Mavericks	51c	72.84$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.09	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Mavericks	50c	71$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.5	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2a8…f871backed Mavericks	59c	70.87$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa244…470dbacked Bucks	47c	70.08$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.48	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2594…cc26backed Mavericks	31c	67.86$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.23	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	+105.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Mavericks	50c	67.59$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.8	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mavericks	55c	66.48$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.54	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3be…4cd6backed Mavericks	60c	66.46$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Bucks (-2.5)this page
AJ Green: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Bobby Portis: Points O/U 16.5No won
Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Brandon Williams: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 19.5No won
Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Mavericks vs. BucksBucks won
Mavericks vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
Mavericks vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5Over won
Max Christie: Points O/U 16.5No won
Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Bucks won
Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bucks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Bucks (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event