NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c138bdc2e493ab6f9649fb4dad789d7673c1821c68d86974d78488981b439df

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $126,706
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $120,431

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,706 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under	71c	60,000$42,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,311.72	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over	48c	40,143$19,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,040.43	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Over	9c	6,430$608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,821.93	155	34.2%53 W · 102 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under	34c	4,886$1,652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,651.98	263	37.3%98 W · 165 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over	49c	4,756$2,319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,436.71	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over	45c	4,587$2,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,507.86	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x969b…db70backed Over	1c	4,000$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,980	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+1.00per pick	1cpaid	+19,900%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e0…7132backed Over	4c	3,205$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,066	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.21per pick	9cpaid	+425.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Over	2c	3,100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,028	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+4.4wins	+0.17per pick	6cpaid	+428%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	60c	3,010$1,796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,214.47	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over	13c	2,927$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,537.07	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff25…960cbacked Over	5c	2,600$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,479	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+3.5wins	+0.24per pick	10cpaid	+421.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	49c	2,515$1,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,244.18	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	49c	2,238$1,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,141.15	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under	51c	2,127$1,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,085.95	313	45%141 W · 172 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under	51c	2,035$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,038	162	54.3%88 W · 74 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	57c	1,424$808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.08	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	79c	1,394$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.02	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Under	54c	1,324$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.42	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	22c	1,299$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.95	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bbe…03c5backed Over	40c	1,292$523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$769.63	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-4.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	50c	1,260$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$629.99	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over	51c	1,259$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$614.36	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under	21c	1,240$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.95	796	50.9%405 W · 391 L	+63.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	49c	1,182$579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$602.73	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Over	35c	1,050$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$685.75	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Under	46c	1,050$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.6	93	38.7%36 W · 57 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under	50c	1,005$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.49	226	43.8%99 W · 127 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e1…b3d2backed Over	46c	759.41$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410.89	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over	12c	706.25$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.46	228	36.4%83 W · 145 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under	16c	671.77$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.21	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under	31c	603.81$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.3	522	30.3%158 W · 364 L	+20.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Over	9c	572$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522.93	76	22.4%17 W · 59 L	+6.1wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+132.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under	43c	535.94$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.28	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	53c	500$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb475…2ed2backed Over	20c	500$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	12	25%3 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over	51c	466.84$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.13	331	50.8%168 W · 163 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Under	55c	339.73$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.37	142	43%61 W · 81 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over	53c	259.28$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.24	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Under	50c	255$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.5	502	41.2%207 W · 295 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	52c	252.08$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.98	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under	25c	250$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.13	266	39.8%106 W · 160 L	+13.0wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over	52c	249.17$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.89	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over	52c	249.03$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.75	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over	52c	248.4$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.12	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	51c	241.72$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.38	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Under	25c	231.57$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.67	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over	51c	222.75$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.12	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over	51c	221.3$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.07	414	49.3%204 W · 210 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over	52c	216.59$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.36	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x481c…01fbbacked Over	47c	210.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.04	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d41…2e0abacked Under	69c	184.31$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.09	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	64cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x341b…4a23backed Over	10c	169.05$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.72	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab3…07bcbacked Over	13c	164.89$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.16	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	54c	164.67$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.13	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	24c	163.61$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.13	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over	12c	146.37$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.33	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over	70c	142.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.86	269	56.1%151 W · 118 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over	70c	142.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.86	173	53.2%92 W · 81 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Under	20c	134$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.53	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84df…4c0bbacked Over	63c	119.36$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.36	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a5…9445backed Under	63c	118.6$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.24	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over	16c	110.28$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.08	181	40.3%73 W · 108 L	+24.4wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	+60.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Over	51c	109.35$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.07	50	48%24 W · 26 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Over	71c	100$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.4	216	40.3%87 W · 129 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe62e…d3e2backed Over	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	106	44.3%47 W · 59 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Over	13c	96.92$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.42	46	37%17 W · 29 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Over	51c	89.06$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.76	52	50%26 W · 26 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x102f…f81ebacked Over	53c	83.76$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.1	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+184.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under	50c	79.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	91	37.4%34 W · 57 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over	50c	76.08$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.35	570	51.9%296 W · 274 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under	20c	73$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.53	804	40.3%324 W · 480 L	+27.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under	20c	67$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.27	330	30.9%102 W · 228 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Over	65c	66$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.1	115	38.3%44 W · 71 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Over	65c	66$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.1	80	40%32 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8f…ed86backed Under	45c	65.22$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.03	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under	41c	62.32$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.7	410	38%156 W · 254 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4c0…dac7backed Under	52c	60$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.45	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc484…4123backed Over	48c	60$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.45	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b8…29a9backed Under	37c	57.21$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5374…eff4backed Under	37c	56.2$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over	69c	55$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.23	404	40.1%162 W · 242 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd221…a44bbacked Under	55c	48.35$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.65	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	46cpaid	+77%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fd0…eceabacked Under	48c	47.48$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Over	51c	46.61$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.61	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-10.1wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked Over	74c	42.07$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	436	47.9%209 W · 227 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Over	66c	40$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.6	379	59.4%225 W · 154 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Under	29c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.72	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaef8…4310backed Over	64c	39.14$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.25	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.13per pick	65cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over	55c	38.78$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.49	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5ed…96e1backed Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe1…a6ebbacked Over	45c	37$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.23	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x874d…c888backed Under	55c	37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.23	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4255…6dd5backed Under	56c	34$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.97	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd83…c0c2backed Over	44c	34$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.97	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99ba…6391backed Over	38c	33.52$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.78	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefcb…f64abacked Over	64c	32.16$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.62	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-7.2wins	-0.17per pick	49cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5this page
AJ Green: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Bobby Portis: Points O/U 16.5No won
Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Brandon Williams: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 19.5No won
Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Mavericks vs. BucksBucks won
Mavericks vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
Mavericks vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5Over won
Max Christie: Points O/U 16.5No won
Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Bucks won
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Bucks won
Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bucks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event