TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbd83…c0c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+117%+$11.86
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+126.2%+$18.97
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.87
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$41.34
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.12
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.56
Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+170.3%+$18.27
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.08
Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$22.58
Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.7
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.05
Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H Moneylinebacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+80%+$17.33
Nets vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 118.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.72
1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20.71
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.02
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Kings make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$17.33
Red Wings vs. Stars: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$42.63
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$46.8
Devils vs. Bluesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$32.9
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.65
Kraken vs. Bluesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30.24
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.95
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.66
KHL: Barys Astana vs. Shanghai Dragonsbacked Barys Astana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18.72
KHL: Traktor vs. Severstal Cherepovetsbacked Traktor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+65.4%+$7.12
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+75.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cody Durden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$32.77
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+116.4%+$12.37
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+54.2%+$15.82
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Telstar 1963 vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.77
AFC Ajax vs. NEC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.87
AFC Ajax vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25.03
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+132.6%+$15.39
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.96
Will Copper (HG) hit (HIGH) $6.30 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$36.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20.58
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+99.4%+$16.95
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$33.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$12.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Drita vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+117.4%+$18.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hull City AFC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+87.9%+$10.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+72.4%+$20.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$19.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+57.2%+$6.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 16 above $390?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+30.7%+$4.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rick Scott vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will North West release an album by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alec Pierce be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.