Tennis · resolved market
Les Sables d'Olonne: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Manon Leonard
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x794c7a33743ecb8e9d7d945156f39f44b1b2e72b839603cc7a4d7261aa2e208c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Garciaof Garcia, Leonard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Garcia | 18c | 4,263$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,506.5 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Garcia | 56c | 2,726$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.09 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Garcia | 29c | 2,174$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.34 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Leonard | 50c | 1,539$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.49 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Leonard | 35c | 1,425$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.72 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Leonard | 75c | 1,358$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.4 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Garcia | 58c | 864.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.85 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Leonard | 54c | 626.98$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.07 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Garcia | 37c | 538.18$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.67 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Garcia | 47c | 391.04$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.31 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Garcia | 29c | 347.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.9 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Leonard | 44c | 334.23$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.49 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Leonard | 52c | 289.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…4e55backed Garcia | 77c | 264.84$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Garcia | 52c | 263$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.48 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Garcia | 24c | 246.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.48 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Leonard | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Leonard | 44c | 204.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.19 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Leonard | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Garcia | 54c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Leonard | 54c | 184.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Leonard | 45c | 180.34$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed Leonard | 34c | 164.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Leonard | 78c | 161.14$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Leonard | 40c | 154.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Leonard | 55c | 144.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Leonard | 53c | 142.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.16 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Leonard | 33c | 132.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Garcia | 18c | 126.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.43 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leonard | 66c | 119.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Leonard | 76c | 111.58$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Leonard | 46c | 111.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Garcia | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Leonard | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Leonard | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Leonard | 43c | 99.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Garcia | 55c | 91.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Garcia | 55c | 90.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Leonard | 43c | 77.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…a6ebbacked Garcia | 57c | 77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…c888backed Leonard | 43c | 77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Leonard | 47c | 71.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Leonard | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Leonard | 47c | 60.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Garcia | 66c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…6dd5backed Leonard | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.39per pick | 54cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…c0c2backed Garcia | 57c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Garcia | 55c | 53.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Leonard | 38c | 53.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Leonard | 59c | 50.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed Garcia | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c0…dac7backed Leonard | 45c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4123backed Garcia | 56c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…de71backed Garcia | 46c | 42.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…0dbcbacked Garcia | 56c | 40.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Garcia | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Garcia | 37c | 35.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Leonard | 43c | 33.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Leonard | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Leonard | 46c | 26.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…89a4backed Leonard | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…68c1backed Garcia | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…790bbacked Leonard | 50c | 25.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…85c8backed Garcia | 57c | 20.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Garcia | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c5…48fbbacked Leonard | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.