TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf4c0…dac7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 60 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Kings make the NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.2%+$16.27
Devils vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+138.1%+$16.24
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+151.6%+$19.28
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$35.46
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.06
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.44
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$28.06
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10.26
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. CSKA Moscowbacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$21.84
KHL: Barys Astana vs. Shanghai Dragonsbacked Shanghai Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$42.12
KHL: Traktor vs. Severstal Cherepovetsbacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.45
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$33.93
Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$22.54
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$19.27
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+87.1%+$12.1
Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.86
Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+122.2%+$15.4
Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+104.3%+$11.74
Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 103.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
Pistons vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Pacers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 113.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.53
1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+94%+$16.47
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick46cpaid+83%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+60.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-74.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+100.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+147.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. HNK Rijeka: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+79.1%+$10.6
FC Drita vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$32.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$53.48
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Ajax vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+194.1%+$27.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alec Pierce be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$31.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+98.4%+$18.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $72 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+97%+$11.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will North West release an album by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$11.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Abacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+74.4%+$8.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$18.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$56.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.