NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9854cc336a85ccb0b1f55d7a49a92a019cd172210e3ff1e0676cb6c3470ab530
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 53c | 58,399$30,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,586.33 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 50c | 23,812$11,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,906 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 18,045$8,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,126.76 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 15,016$7,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,095.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 14,119$7,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,341.87 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 5,881$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.08 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 3,781$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.57 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 3,590$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.1 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 48c | 2,753$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.44 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 1,014$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 1,012$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.1 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 789$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.89 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 463.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.96 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 326.03$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.93 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over | 50c | 247.9$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Over | 53c | 83.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Under | 51c | 60.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 48c | 58.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c0…dac7backed Under | 49c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4123backed Over | 51c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 50c | 45.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…aea9backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 45c | 38.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Over | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 223.5this page
- Bucks vs. PelicansBucks won
- Bucks vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Bucks vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 221.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 222.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5Over won
- Cam Thomas: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Bucks won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.