NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x075c9abfe3c5f33cfbc73f7200c7f836199cf7694ad5746502d7d78907aee68a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Pelicans, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans | 53c | 5,995$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,164.92 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 47c | 4,603$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.58 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pelicans | 53c | 3,600$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.01 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 47c | 3,151$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 50c | 2,163$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Pelicans | 53c | 2,000$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.65 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Bucks | 55c | 1,820$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.39 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pelicans | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 47c | 1,242$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.07 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 46c | 1,232$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans | 55c | 986$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.3 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans | 54c | 932$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.56 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 47c | 752.45$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.92 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks | 45c | 488.41$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.62 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Bucks | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Bucks | 47c | 410$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.3 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bucks | 47c | 398.52$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.22 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Pelicans | 19c | 391.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks | 46c | 374.53$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.63 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Bucks | 47c | 372.34$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans | 52c | 339.97$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.89 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans | 53c | 332.94$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.91 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bucks | 48c | 273.46$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.17 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bucks | 49c | 269.5$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.98 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks | 47c | 265.95$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.95 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Bucks | 47c | 260$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Bucks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Bucks | 47c | 192$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.1 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 29c | 191.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Pelicans | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Bucks | 47c | 166.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 46c | 163.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Pelicans | 38c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Pelicans | 53c | 137.35$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Bucks | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Bucks | 50c | 126.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pelicans | 54c | 107.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Pelicans | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Bucks | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Bucks | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pelicans | 53c | 94.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bucks | 46c | 92.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pelicans | 45c | 88.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Pelicans | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Bucks | 48c | 77.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Bucks | 48c | 75.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pelicans | 45c | 72.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Pelicans | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Bucks | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Bucks | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Pelicans | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Bucks | 49c | 49.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Pelicans | 43c | 46.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Bucks | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Pelicans | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bucks | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Bucks | 47c | 37.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Pelicans | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 59%102 W · 71 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Bucks | 48c | 36.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bucks | 47c | 32.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Bucks | 47c | 28.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Bucks | 48c | 26.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Bucks | 48c | 24.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pelicans | 50c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)this page
- Bucks vs. PelicansBucks won
- Bucks vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Bucks vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 221.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 222.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5Over won
- Cam Thomas: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Bucks won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.