TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,470
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,025

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,470 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under51c30,100$15,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,461.177348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under49c23,812$11,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,568.8322648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over51c10,282$5,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,042.941,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over53c9,870$5,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,637.3151354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c9,056$4,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,607.524,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c6,763$3,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,525.672,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c6,627$3,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,289.569,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over55c4,183$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.582,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Under51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9514652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over47c3,733$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.4642648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under53c3,651$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.71,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over49c3,038$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.3529352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over47c2,707$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.7115450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c2,598$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.268,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over49c2,457$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.6544352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Over54c1,831$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.0326544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under46c1,717$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over49c1,359$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.191968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+40.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over47c1,070$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.134855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c1,011$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.496,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3337747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under46c819$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.741,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c804.72$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.243,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41684342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over47c787.23$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.2317454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over53c753.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.3236450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Under53c660$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.88252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under18c536.97$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1553149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabef…3004backed Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Over47c495.74$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.745558.2%32 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over53c475.93$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9728842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c417$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.841,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over51c411.09$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.362,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over48c400$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Over54c392$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.6512642.1%53 W · 73 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over55c334.22$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.173,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under48c275.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4715147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7316347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under46c249.31$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.683,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under53c213.21$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11339552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c206.82$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.794,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…05d8backed Under49c206.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002532%8 W · 17 L-5.3wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-41.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Over49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.554959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10691148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under48c195$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.654443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c163.72$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.192,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over49c126.03$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.782,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c122.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.944,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a43…1405backed Under48c122.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.142572%18 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Over47c117.02$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.026550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under49c101.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4622453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5395260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4832346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over50c97.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.321,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae9a…7ceabacked Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507847.4%37 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Over49c91.66$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.668456%47 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Over48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.624428.7%70 W · 174 L-22.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc208…e74fbacked Over48c69.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.337251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over55c62.69$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Over49c61.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3529351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over77c60.3$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.622756.8%129 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96a7…f82ebacked Over49c55.92$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.522065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over47c52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5646447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under47c50.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.53,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5527050%135 W · 135 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf095…111bbacked Over53c40.69$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1211250.9%57 W · 55 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under44c39.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2139047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over52c38.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3657657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Over52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.247650%38 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7419848.5%96 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9973…cc32backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.743046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c37.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.213,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0432654.3%177 W · 149 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over47c33.74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8866646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over74c33.62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.881,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Over73c30.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4445653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under46c29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3439055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Under46c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.546341.3%26 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over47c25.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3353349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Over49c25.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.865933.9%20 W · 39 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Over53c22.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6456454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over54c21.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9576552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…e3e9backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.