NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf688df001761ce3606fb1a0e7b8b10ce9927834a2ac694557913f3ccb24ff4f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 3,055$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.81 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 2,235$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.47 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 1,980$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.23 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,957$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…7ab2backed Under | 44c | 1,862$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Over | 55c | 1,326$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.71 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Under | 44c | 914.97$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.74 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 53c | 889.56$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.82 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 880.68$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.34 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 44c | 809.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.35 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 659$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.96 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 45c | 513$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.85 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 218.55$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 56c | 186.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcf…47ddbacked Over | 56c | 124.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Under | 45c | 63.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 52c | 57.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 53.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 24c | 52.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 44c | 51.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 44c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 46.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…72bdbacked Over | 57c | 43.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 50c | 43.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…c4b2backed Over | 57c | 36.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Over | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9be…7517backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 55c | 27.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Over | 50c | 26.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 50c | 25.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 55c | 23.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Over | 53c | 20.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 221.5this page
- Bucks vs. PelicansBucks won
- Bucks vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Bucks vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 222.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5Over won
- Cam Thomas: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Bucks won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.