NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32af42f600ddb267a430ad8fbcf7b38765536d7097b0c333a8ab656dbcdb55ad

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bucksof Pelicans, Bucks
Resolved: Feb 21, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $406,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $408,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $406,516 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Bucks	51c	137,140$69,942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67,198.75	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pelicans	50c	70,000$35,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,000	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans	49c	63,320$30,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,899.49	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Bucks	50c	26,950$13,595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,355	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Pelicans	48c	26,073$12,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,514.37	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Bucks	52c	25,000$13,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,999.97	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Bucks	51c	20,293$10,277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,015.92	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pelicans	49c	20,050$9,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,824.5	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pelicans	49c	17,645$8,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,700	114	57.9%66 W · 48 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks	51c	17,487$8,973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,513.9	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Bucks	51c	16,736$8,531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,204.53	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans	49c	15,729$7,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,702.22	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pelicans	49c	15,138$7,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,443.23	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Pelicans	49c	14,859$7,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,280	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Pelicans	49c	10,204$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Bucks	51c	10,000$5,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,950	185	47%87 W · 98 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Bucks	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,899.83	257	53.7%138 W · 119 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Pelicans	49c	8,245$4,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,040	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Pelicans	49c	7,755$3,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,800	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Bucks	51c	6,500$3,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,185	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Bucks	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,940	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Pelicans	49c	5,272$2,583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,583.44	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Pelicans	49c	5,102$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	105	53.3%56 W · 49 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks	51c	4,902$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,401.96	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Bucks	52c	4,808$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,307.69	172	41.9%72 W · 100 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans	48c	4,428$2,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,135.14	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Bucks	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,960	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Pelicans	49c	4,000$1,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,939.99	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Pelicans	48c	3,947$1,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,894.45	453	48.1%218 W · 235 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Bucks	51c	3,902$1,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,911.96	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Pelicans	49c	3,673$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Bucks	51c	3,333$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,633.17	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Bucks	51c	2,941$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,441.17	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Pelicans	49c	2,796$1,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,370	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Bucks	52c	2,700$1,404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,296	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Pelicans	50c	2,500$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Bucks	51c	2,500$1,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Bucks	52c	2,300$1,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,095.87	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Bucks	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Pelicans	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	267	55.8%149 W · 118 L	+12.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Pelicans	47c	1,988$934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$934.35	293	52.6%154 W · 139 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Bucks	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.04	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks	57c	1,810$1,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782.17	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Pelicans	47c	1,625$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$763.97	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans	50c	1,369$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.69	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Pelicans	49c	1,171$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.72	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks	50c	1,134$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.88	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans	49c	1,130$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.73	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Bucks	52c	1,062$551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510.54	260	44.6%116 W · 144 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Bucks	52c	1,012$526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.7	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans	47c	1,007$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.14	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Bucks	52c	1,000$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	291	49.5%144 W · 147 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Pelicans	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	116	56.9%66 W · 50 L	+10.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+17%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bucks	50c	808.73$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.37	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Bucks	52c	807.69$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.69	266	40.2%107 W · 159 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Bucks	52c	807.69$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.69	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Bucks	54c	777.98$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.87	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Bucks	53c	660$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.2	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Bucks	51c	641$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.09	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Bucks	52c	576.92$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.92	400	41.5%166 W · 234 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Bucks	60c	575.65$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.67	270	52.6%142 W · 128 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks	51c	555$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.6	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans	46c	506.14$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.85	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Bucks	52c	500$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	493	45.2%223 W · 270 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Bucks	52c	500$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	228	45.2%103 W · 125 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Bucks	52c	442.31$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.31	206	50%103 W · 103 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Bucks	52c	420.51$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.37	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Bucks	50c	420$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.59	126	42.1%53 W · 73 L	-11.6wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Pelicans	49c	416.69$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.18	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Bucks	51c	400$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	151	54.3%82 W · 69 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x563b…774bbacked Bucks	52c	384.62$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.62	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.17per pick	63cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf17…dc1abacked Pelicans	51c	368.63$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-5.7wins	-0.30per pick	51cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans	48c	354.48$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.75	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Pelicans	48c	306.36$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.05	405	46.9%190 W · 215 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Bucks	52c	300$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Pelicans	48c	300$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Bucks	51c	294.12$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.12	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pelicans	32c	289.67$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.81	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans	48c	279.79$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.91	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Bucks	50c	269.31$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.36	218	54.6%119 W · 99 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks	51c	245.09$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.09	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pelicans	48c	243.28$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.15	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Pelicans	34c	229.4$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.22	73	34.2%25 W · 48 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks	50c	219.64$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.19	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Bucks	53c	215.91$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.48	288	42.7%123 W · 165 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pelicans	45c	212.92$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.76	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans	48c	206.26$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.57	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Pelicans	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Pelicans	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	952	60.2%573 W · 379 L	+37.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Bucks	52c	199.23$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.63	220	48.6%107 W · 113 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e0…132abacked Bucks	51c	195$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.55	136	39.7%54 W · 82 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Bucks	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…05d8backed Bucks	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-5.3wins	-0.21per pick	53cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Bucks	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	323	47.1%152 W · 171 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Bucks	45c	179$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.45	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Pelicans	49c	175.37$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.93	118	40.7%48 W · 70 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Bucks	53c	170$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.9	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Bucks	52c	169.8$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.5	118	50%59 W · 59 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Bucks	52c	155.87$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.82	343	42.9%147 W · 196 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Pelicans	49c	147$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.03	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)this page
Bucks vs. PelicansBucks won
Bucks vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineBucks won
Bucks vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 221.5Over won
Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 222.5Over won
Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 223.5Over won
Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5Over won
Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5Over won
Cam Thomas: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Myles Turner: Points O/U 11.5No won
Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)Bucks won
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Bucks won
Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event