NHL · resolved market
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. CSKA Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x790baae550d0e50fd0882e69bf65221eaa6a0eea28bb758f657f9cfdf18b104c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SKA St. Petersburgof SKA St. Petersburg, CSKA Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 46c | 721.22$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.46 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…ac47backed CSKA Moscow | 54c | 483.33$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed SKA St. Petersburg | 48c | 450$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.61 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked CSKA Moscow | 52c | 386.3$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed CSKA Moscow | 54c | 314.81$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…767fbacked CSKA Moscow | 28c | 52.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c0…dac7backed CSKA Moscow | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4123backed SKA St. Petersburg | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed SKA St. Petersburg | 75c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb17…071abacked SKA St. Petersburg | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked CSKA Moscow | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed SKA St. Petersburg | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5769…7d11backed CSKA Moscow | 59c | 35.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…9b98backed SKA St. Petersburg | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d2…b34bbacked CSKA Moscow | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked CSKA Moscow | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.