South American Leagues · resolved market
O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x126ee82c66d27c99f3d208fd957007c2f8984745034dec680d0be5bc1b1d1baf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 2,136$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.07 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.99 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 32c | 1,249$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.55 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 32c | 929.17$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.46 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 59c | 632.8$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.45 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 64c | 612.06$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.07 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 46c | 431.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.41 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 348.37$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.45 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 266.07$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 40c | 250.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 52c | 208.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.1 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 196.87$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…30d5backed Under | 56c | 179.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 60c | 133.16$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 70c | 126.2$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 44c | 119.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 22c | 115.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 15c | 103.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 58c | 85.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Under | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…1754backed Under | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…9186backed Under | 49c | 62.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 72c | 44.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…6e96backed Over | 24c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…5165backed Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…89a4backed Under | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…68c1backed Over | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c0…dac7backed Under | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 46cpaid | +83%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4123backed Over | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7436…0ac4backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…36b2backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 44c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…a6ebbacked Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…c888backed Under | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5this page
- O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5Under won
- O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5Under won
- O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.