South American Leagues · resolved market
O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4401e6522b260b31abdb55f45936a31533cb2e9549a9a11a4b94e8cf95bc9f88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64ce…944bbacked Over | 69c | 14,476$9,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,988.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 33c | 14,150$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,430.09 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked Over | 0c | 5,166$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Under | 48c | 2,285$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.61 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 2,206$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.15 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817e…7c6cbacked Over | 1c | 1,990$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 1,318$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.03 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 51c | 799.73$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.83 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 73c | 750.48$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 25c | 682.31$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.09 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 510.59$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 26c | 387.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 373.54$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.75 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 62c | 318.33$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Under | 13c | 315$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.05 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 65c | 310$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.92 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 29c | 252.05$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.98 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 74c | 239.1$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d3…0d2abacked Over | 16c | 213.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 69c | 194.17$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 69c | 171.01$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.09 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 66c | 152.32$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 52c | 148.09$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e09…f745backed Over | 68c | 119.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 51c | 111.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 60c | 109.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 27c | 104.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Under | 21c | 95.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 51c | 94.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…de71backed Under | 28c | 82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 63c | 79.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Under | 52c | 35.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Over | 57c | 21.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed Under | 69c | 21.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…61fabacked Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 67c | 18.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 73c | 14.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…0e06backed Over | 79c | 13.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5this page
- O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5Under won
- O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5Under won
- O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.