South American Leagues · resolved market
O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x712b50cd1976285ff0e6b194fb74fff27ef7c34af12f4df0ea48c358ee4e68e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 1,880$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.24 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 45c | 999.4$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.73 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 50c | 372.06$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.21 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 51c | 332.61$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.95 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 203.84$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.55 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 69c | 179.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.59 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 50c | 100.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…de71backed Yes | 14c | 95.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Yes | 73c | 95.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 57c | 88.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 34c | 79.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d3…eb28backed Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c0…dac7backed No | 49c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 46cpaid | +83%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4123backed Yes | 51c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2287…3054backed Yes | 50c | 61.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…89a4backed No | 48c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…68c1backed Yes | 52c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 44c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…6dd5backed No | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…c0c2backed Yes | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…4cc0backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…36b2backed Yes | 46c | 43.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 49c | 35.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 48c | 33.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…9b98backed Yes | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d2…b34bbacked No | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 48c | 32.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…9603backed Yes | 46c | 21.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…2765backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…61fabacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5Under won
- O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5Under won
- O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5Under won
- O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.