TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4255…6dd5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$41.34
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18.45
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+100%+$13
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+93.9%+$13.56
Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18.27
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+104.8%+$18.42
Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+120.9%+$19.7
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+114%+$17.04
Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H Moneylinebacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.33
Nets vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 118.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$13.72
1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+102.1%+$20.71
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+72.4%+$13.02
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.39per pick54cpaid-76.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+60.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+125.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Telstar 1963 vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+104.1%+$13.77
AFC Ajax vs. NEC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+79.8%+$16.87
AFC Ajax vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+193%+$25.03
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+47.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-17.5)backed Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+86.1%+$10.18
Spread: Fordham Rams (-8.5)backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+111.7%+$27.44
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Penn State Nittany Lions: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16.43
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+190.2%+$32.77
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.37
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.82
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$20.58
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Alphabacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.39
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+58.7%+$15.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
FC Drita vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$18.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+120.3%+$12.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+118.9%+$23.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alec Pierce be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$23.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+93.1%+$27.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will North West release an album by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$26.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rick Scott vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$13.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hull City AFC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.