TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,396 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c5,982$2,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550.614,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under51c4,311$2,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.043727%10 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Under62c3,400$2,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.994465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x916f…53babacked Over43c3,316$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.682969%20 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Under57c3,246$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.614548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c3,174$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.563,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.9930446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under57c2,028$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.3414647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Over41c1,864$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.624959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f6a…8ec7backed Under58c1,860$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.53560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over44c1,662$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.2826550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf425…be71backed Over38c1,652$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over42c1,388$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.0842851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Under57c1,373$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.593345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over31c1,085$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.5111336.3%41 W · 72 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44011333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over39c930.81$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.21,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Under44c918.88$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.8820843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51a8…0e31backed Under63c634.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under58c603.45$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.4515446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under59c601$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.4464046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Under59c572.88$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.886756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under58c560.89$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.573557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over40c531.95$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.782934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over45c516.87$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.424158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4550949.5%252 W · 257 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Under61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4b2…c5cdbacked Under63c500$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-46.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Under57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2153354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over25c492.6$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.28732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Under41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.83551.4%18 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over53c472.88$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over37c365.2$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.122050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026645.5%121 W · 145 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.882661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e9f…7d7fbacked Under57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under41c271$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8920945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over43c263.64$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.372657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over44c261.55$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.081435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab9…1437backed Under59c255.2$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.634134.1%14 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under42c237.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.686145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over44c225.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under62c217.66$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7110938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c208.73$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.071,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2823…eb3dbacked Under43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11412100%12 W · 0 L+4.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+66.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over55c195.3$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3718152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under62c194$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.723447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Under48c190$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.82166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6084…e875backed Under62c185.6$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf128…053bbacked Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+41.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under49c167$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5584939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over53c158.92$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5317648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over13c151$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8914342%60 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over48c148$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0415443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over44c145.57$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.711354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over33c144.23$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.035152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Under57c130$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.98653.5%46 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over54c127.88$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.776752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Over41c114$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.741040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Over43c113.14$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.232740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8db0…64ebbacked Under68c110$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6dc…022bbacked Under58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4411855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f74…4fccbacked Under57c98.25$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.25520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under62c97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.864744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87c8…9cfbbacked Under44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.91966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under57c87.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7232145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7517455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked Over50c80.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.352821.4%6 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-65%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x529c…1809backed Over15c78.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4720541.5%85 W · 120 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Under62c74.19$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1914850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over42c68.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.912925.6%33 W · 96 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f0a…a693backed Over44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over52c66.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0243255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over43c65.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.978155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.611448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7daf…ee4dbacked Over43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under45c57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1319446.9%91 W · 103 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb672…456fbacked Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Under71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.341154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54d3…0d2abacked Under59c50.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Under56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x625f…89a4backed Under62c48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e74…68c1backed Over38c48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Under58c46.97$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014852.7%78 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over40c45.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.33467.6%23 W · 11 L+9.0wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+113.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Under57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.866645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34df…18b0backed Under46c43.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.612552%13 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e01…2699backed Over44c43.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7109…a765backed Under60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under56c39.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4127653.6%148 W · 128 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Under76c38.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.112763%17 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under56c37.35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4335148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under59c37.06$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.231,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c0…c187backed Over45c36.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.442343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over43c36.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.631952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb152…ef4cbacked Over43c36.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.492055%11 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.