La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ef31c8dc8ff5b1a5a2461877ec7a6979f54c3be28504a0b2ae4ba23a9e969a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 8,375$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.27 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 3,831$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.64 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Over | 76c | 2,041$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.65 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 65c | 1,900$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 18c | 1,156$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.08 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 872.63$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.62 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 11c | 684.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 47c | 623$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.81 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 10c | 555.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 23c | 529.75$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.21 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Under | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 68c | 483.52$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.85 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 36c | 441.07$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x638f…2edcbacked Under | 12c | 430$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 13c | 381.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…a264backed Over | 77c | 297.94$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 18c | 264.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 19c | 263.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Under | 19c | 257.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…20f6backed Over | 59c | 249$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 29c | 243$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…33d8backed Under | 43c | 209.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Over | 74c | 191$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 73c | 152.28$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 18c | 143.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 80c | 124.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Over | 56c | 106$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…f041backed Over | 69c | 85.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 18c | 74.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…7353backed Over | 78c | 70.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 26c | 67.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Over | 53c | 57.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 22c | 56.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Over | 56c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…3d82backed Over | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 62c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 71c | 50.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2321…6a04backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 30c | 38.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Over | 80c | 25.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4025…33e2backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.