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La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,908 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c35,451$14,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,081.954,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over63c22,527$14,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,191.913645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over63c10,910$6,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,873.219748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb15c…9ec7backed Over54c10,377$5,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,567.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under37c8,302$3,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,230.5564046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4919…5a51backed Under24c2,045$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+309%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked Under57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over64c1,500$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9609151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over64c1,400$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8964158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under38c1,300$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.814647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under33c1,290$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.1515446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Over77c1,166$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.29425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under44c1,139$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.441,66943.8%731 W · 938 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Under34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6605431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…6c1abacked Over48c925.08$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2dc…3f6abacked Over79c887.98$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.511747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdce3…9d85backed Over67c863.21$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.351145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under35c852.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.3323252.6%122 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Under71c841.96$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.96650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under38c841.46$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.713557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c663.97$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.453,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over64c630$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.24082.5%33 W · 7 L+6.5wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+28.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under36c600.06$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.0453149.5%263 W · 268 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under37c507.17$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.1211354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under40c502.05$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.312142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Over69c500.87$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.13363.6%21 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c494.49$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.531,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa0…be2dbacked Under29c424.59$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.931435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under11c422.64$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.156939.1%27 W · 42 L+12.9wins+0.19per pick20cpaid+115%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over64c417.66$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.314647.9%70 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5e8…8745backed Over25c380.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-58.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under25c370.88$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.4811336.3%41 W · 72 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008042.5%34 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under31c322.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.843562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x117a…a264backed Over52c320.88$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.443053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over64c320$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.89563.2%60 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over32c301.12$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4617541.1%72 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Over42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Under33c298.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over67c285$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.955967.8%40 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Under37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.275255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over63c250$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.51,08648.2%523 W · 563 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under36c249.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.988457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over63c244.44$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1542272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.8wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+48.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa567…063dbacked Over67c238.55$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over64c234.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Over62c228.35$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.581637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over63c218.79$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.844447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over12c217.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6387939.9%351 W · 528 L-20.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e48…6fd3backed Over38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Over64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1281241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Under37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12623540.4%95 W · 140 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Under31c199.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.174540%18 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over63c199.65$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7842851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under69c175.94$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2814259.9%85 W · 57 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc377…c730backed Over49c146.94$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.862661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under53c139.83$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.211,45845.1%658 W · 800 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over53c137.22$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.355152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6dc…022bbacked Over25c133.6$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under38c131.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5732145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.215940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over20c127.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1910634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37fa…1136backed Over62c126$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.124165.9%27 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Over61c123.47$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.313452.9%18 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x638f…2edcbacked Over41c122.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over40c121.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2717648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Over64c117.19$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under53c116$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9720146.8%94 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8f…d351backed Over69c115.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d82…545bbacked Over65c113.85$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under31c112.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.920541.5%85 W · 120 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under41c111.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.941147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under34c111.36$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.032846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under36c111.19$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1650149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under37c110.63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.72740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Under32c108.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.212944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd2b…74acbacked Over72c106.94$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Under37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6311559.1%68 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed Under37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-55.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e03…0733backed Over79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105961%36 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under71c98.55$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.584759.6%28 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…24a6backed Under32c96.14$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0722…fceebacked Over55c95.03$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.171361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506937.7%26 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over64c93.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607954.4%43 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under69c89.91$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8717044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe660…237dbacked Under57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under39c84.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6211741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under37c83.14$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3830749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df0…9a65backed Under65c78.96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.79757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over64c78.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Over45c77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.631346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under38c73.62$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8512152.9%64 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under42c72.87$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1627850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over42c68.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0743255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.