TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e01…2699

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST5444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.36
Kings vs. Rocketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.32
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+185.7%+$32.41
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.95
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.27
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+212.5%+$25.9
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25.26
Spurs vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$27.06
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.12
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.72
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.28
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.86
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.47
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.53
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.63
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+25%+$3.31
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.18
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.68
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Starsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.95
Maple Leafs vs. Lightningbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.19
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.8
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$6.47
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$5.92
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Canucks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.19
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$10.23
Canadiens vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.68
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$48.88
Flames vs. Utahbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Senators vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$52.6
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$122.82
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Kraken vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$16
Predators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$22.57
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$36.3
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$15.6
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$27.67
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$8.11
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8.81
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.22
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.36
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+49.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.43
Mets vs. Nationalsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$55.68
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$86.12
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$110.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.