Us Politics · resolved market
Election certified on January 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4150752d0efc99377d7388908724cb79e8423768414af7e4a4ee857ac28ef8e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,696,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,492,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,696,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked No | 1c | 264,563$3,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.11 | 100 | 7%7 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c6…ebefbacked No | 3c | 262,558$7,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,510.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8d…dfccbacked No | 11c | 142,631$16,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,129.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…4a71backed No | 2c | 108,733$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.08 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 1c | 106,845$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.25 | 102 | 11.8%12 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked No | 1c | 91,670$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.91 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 4c | 75,000$3,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 10c | 71,351$7,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,339.44 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 2c | 60,598$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.31 | 124 | 4.8%6 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…3d7ebacked No | 3c | 59,721$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.21 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed No | 2c | 54,546$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.04 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed No | 2c | 43,699$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.19 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…9d82backed No | 1c | 36,425$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed No | 3c | 34,570$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.94 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 1c | 32,599$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.8 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 2c | 31,977$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.39 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8eae…fc3ebacked No | 7c | 23,871$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d7…6d45backed No | 2c | 20,414$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…8fb5backed No | 1c | 19,097$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc930…9ed4backed No | 1c | 17,577$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.55 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 4c | 17,437$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.16 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked No | 3c | 16,877$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.94 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf92…55cbbacked No | 3c | 14,190$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…83adbacked No | 1c | 12,912$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.12 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ca…84acbacked No | 9c | 12,835$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…f0a5backed No | 3c | 12,640$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd298…42aebacked No | 3c | 12,291$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 1c | 10,425$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.66 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…2ddabacked No | 3c | 9,876$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.12 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 4c | 9,627$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.7 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed No | 1c | 9,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…b02dbacked No | 4c | 8,947$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…a6adbacked No | 3c | 8,875$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked No | 2c | 6,147$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.34 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…3f05backed No | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed No | 7c | 5,000$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…c9fbbacked No | 2c | 4,880$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fc…cff4backed No | 2c | 4,825$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8d…f3e5backed No | 2c | 4,342$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…14bbbacked No | 4c | 4,290$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked No | 4c | 4,224$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.31 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 4c | 3,945$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.1 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed No | 3c | 3,730$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…4e58backed No | 2c | 3,355$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…4344backed No | 8c | 3,216$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…f387backed No | 1c | 3,030$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…9313backed No | 2c | 3,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked No | 2c | 2,768$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x144c…50fcbacked No | 4c | 2,700$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…c705backed No | 1c | 2,636$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a66…9bc0backed No | 1c | 2,447$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9216…6b78backed No | 1c | 2,097$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…4816backed No | 1c | 2,050$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 3c | 2,014$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 1c | 2,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cd…1469backed No | 1c | 1,986$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked No | 2c | 1,903$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed No | 3c | 1,771$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 3c | 1,734$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 189 | 14.3%27 W · 162 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c74…073ebacked No | 1c | 1,154$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed No | 5c | 1,129$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 71 | 19.7%14 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…2b79backed No | 15c | 1,066$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed No | 3c | 1,020$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…6db1backed No | 2c | 1,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…815abacked No | 2c | 960$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…2699backed No | 2c | 900$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…8845backed No | 1c | 799.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…92f9backed No | 7c | 692.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…7b7fbacked No | 4c | 688.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x503f…e43cbacked No | 15c | 679.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…5112backed No | 5c | 638.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…e2f0backed No | 4c | 622.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92a…2818backed No | 3c | 615.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c0…7e81backed No | 2c | 603.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0329…8129backed No | 16c | 590$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…ae91backed No | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…dfc8backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed No | 5c | 485.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…a3aabacked No | 8c | 403.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd7…23f3backed No | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…8e0cbacked No | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5982…fa1ebacked No | 15c | 350$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb380…5270backed No | 3c | 350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb97d…b68cbacked No | 16c | 334.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 9c | 320.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4f…6f13backed No | 17c | 316.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 4c | 307$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f13…d602backed No | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5143…432ebacked No | 7c | 292.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d98…5047backed No | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…c8b3backed No | 17c | 215.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 11c | 210.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20f…1e48backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eea…8072backed No | 17c | 193.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86f…208bbacked No | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 14c | 148.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9316…1e11backed No | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf49b…add9backed No | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.