TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$269,412
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$292,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,412 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1433…56a0backed Over51c23,000$11,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,269.9917554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over53c18,868$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,868.144355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under49c16,810$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,199.8919954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under52c15,712$8,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,170.3738253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Under51c15,000$7,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,65012547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under49c11,429$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60026949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c11,215$5,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,689.444,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c10,089$4,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,166.999,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c8,521$4,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,340.932,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under48c5,185$2,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,463.8138251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9006…ad6ebacked Under50c4,635$2,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,317.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under51c4,589$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.2229055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4d3…76bbbacked Over50c4,200$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aed…1dadbacked Under50c4,122$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,06120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c4,028$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.282,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfab1…efa5backed Over50c4,008$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6b…b528backed Under50c3,655$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce11…9fa3backed Under50c3,640$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6821…32c9backed Over50c3,566$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69a5…3569backed Over50c3,456$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd9…60ddbacked Over50c3,455$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a1f…2272backed Under50c3,455$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffc8…dd33backed Over50c3,455$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc989…a118backed Under50c3,356$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,67820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c89…746abacked Over50c3,266$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd311…e452backed Under50c3,256$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x610d…8670backed Under50c3,233$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x430e…656abacked Over50c3,211$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under49c3,203$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.6724744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c3e…4b61backed Under50c3,175$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5329…e63dbacked Under50c3,145$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb60e…f77cbacked Over50c3,122$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under50c3,012$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.877348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68e…00b9backed Over50c3,010$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5601,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…4596backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbc5…f532backed Over50c2,852$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa720…56f1backed Over50c2,839$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8df3…29febacked Under50c2,833$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01e3…b541backed Under50c2,788$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d99…884bbacked Under50c2,785$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0359…05a5backed Over50c2,768$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x427c…5e52backed Over50c2,755$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over48c2,704$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.1730446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dde…4c27backed Under50c2,626$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a1d…8506backed Over50c2,600$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac16…ae1bbacked Under50c2,555$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c2,523$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.961,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb928…be4dbacked Under50c2,466$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f23…16bcbacked Over51c2,455$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb52…dcfabacked Over50c2,256$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee2…9782backed Over50c2,255$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Over45c2,231$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.7613946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3998…67bbbacked Over50c2,120$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0602100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7dd…ac31backed Over50c2,100$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0502100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95a8…bd86backed Under50c2,085$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Over48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.333661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd394…f7f8backed Over50c2,058$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0292100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ca6…843ebacked Over50c2,057$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b5…1f85backed Under50c2,020$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8000…1806backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a6…6ea4backed Over50c1,977$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over73c1,800$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48684342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a92…537cbacked Under50c1,748$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68f7…d73dbacked Under50c1,747$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aef…32cfbacked Over50c1,706$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8531241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e78…3a8ebacked Under50c1,698$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8491553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7002…8432backed Under50c1,656$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f57…2ecebacked Under50c1,646$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9186…3a6cbacked Over50c1,610$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd990…1d07backed Over50c1,550$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under29c1,536$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.463,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdbc…6a8fbacked Under50c1,521$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1903…6617backed Under50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Over79c1,496$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.217554.9%96 W · 79 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c1,488$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.553,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb46b…94fcbacked Over50c1,322$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6612100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under50c1,315$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.281,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c1,276$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.493,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under52c1,274$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.6722648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb01…ce7dbacked Over50c1,212$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1065…53dabacked Over50c1,120$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e07…f674backed Under50c1,061$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c1,008$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.765,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…069ebacked Under50c1,006$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0304…a3f6backed Over50c998.88$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.441643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa60…6eb8backed Under50c722$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c652.82$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.134,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31249345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c8…bb9ebacked Over47c593.29$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.29714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-69.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c500.01$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.014,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over50c494$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24743453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under46c450.35$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.033,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over50c384$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19262347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Under24c362.15$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6111942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Over72c347$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1618743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x438f…52a6backed Under50c314$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b8…e1a1backed Over79c303.8$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.89663.5%61 W · 35 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.