TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,384

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,080 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c11,000$5,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4101,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over51c10,392$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,092.1565750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Under50c8,808$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4004438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Under49c7,143$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5009250%46 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Over51c7,000$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,43021143.1%91 W · 120 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c4,401$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.019,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Under49c4,271$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.0212144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over53c3,757$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.4212855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Under48c3,120$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.622143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under50c3,004$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.1338253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under50c2,847$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.5622648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under49c2,449$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Under48c1,745$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.7728554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under27c1,639$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.793,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under57c1,634$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.2565872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under49c1,429$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c1,333$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.524,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Over51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.161,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over73c837.74$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6741556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over53c754.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.7213951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c693$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.576,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over41c659.33$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.78,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29449345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c492.61$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.93,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c491.77$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.054,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c413.52$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.44,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1626048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over52c331.63$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14766645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Over56c279.49$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3515534.2%53 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over52c267$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8384150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over69c251.59$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.043,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over53c243.88$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under49c214$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.862,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9837750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16e6…dc3dbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0829554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99cd…36cfbacked Over52c190.25$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under39c172.89$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.351,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under44c153.57$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.574,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9675…6bf3backed Over56c153.57$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.578944.9%40 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Under49c146.94$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7213045.4%59 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over40c142.32$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.392,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under48c128$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2278648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7715…ada4backed Over52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.66344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3872250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c109.51$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.473,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4959144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f18…2080backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4724850%124 W · 124 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x468d…cf23backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504546.7%21 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64f8…8cadbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf10…557ebacked Under49c89.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.82138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c86.03$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.012,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4028243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over51c68.62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6276250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under56c66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.962,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under48c60.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.176235.5%22 W · 40 L-10.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under56c59.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.633,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8251651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over46c53.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.991,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over44c52.61$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.391,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.481,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.59653.1%51 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.57851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Under50c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.516735.8%24 W · 43 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over52c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.771,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over48c48.95$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2611942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.175343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under50c45.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.671,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under47c44.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.111,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over53c44.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1118150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under49c43.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.272,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…6324backed Under48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.162839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over53c40.17$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8820762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8318…8b62backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under44c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.725,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c37.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.862,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb712…7bf2backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e7…51d6backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.047145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05b0…df5abacked Over50c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.336350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.312548%60 W · 65 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x971c…f72cbacked Over53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1615253.3%81 W · 71 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1fd6…e14ebacked Under51c26.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Under51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.221553.5%115 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x485d…fc8abacked Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015347.1%72 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…e3e9backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf11b…3fe3backed Over51c19.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.796056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.