NBA · resolved market
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6f676f1ed5cbd19f7c8e3ec8033446b1791ef9e13b2e9fabd4cc7d948bc6a54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Grizzlies, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kings | 55c | 13,000$7,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 6,751$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Kings | 52c | 6,343$3,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.98 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 6,140$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Kings | 55c | 4,928$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.53 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies | 47c | 4,486$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.76 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 53c | 4,189$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 3,740$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.4 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 45c | 1,626$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.51 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 1,591$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.79 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Kings | 54c | 1,558$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.56 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 53c | 1,275$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.64 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kings | 54c | 1,176$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.96 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Kings | 55c | 1,050$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 45c | 1,015$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.75 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Grizzlies | 46c | 821.74$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…34debacked Grizzlies | 46c | 797.78$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Grizzlies | 46c | 676.09$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 584.93$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.46 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Kings | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Grizzlies | 49c | 375.3$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.9 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 49c | 245.49$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.39 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…38bfbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 244.64$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Grizzlies | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Grizzlies | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Kings | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Grizzlies | 46c | 195.52$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Kings | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb1…c109backed Kings | 55c | 182.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Grizzlies | 47c | 148.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Grizzlies | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Grizzlies | 50c | 136$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Kings | 52c | 118.7$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…e0c2backed Grizzlies | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Grizzlies | 46c | 103.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Grizzlies | 49c | 99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Kings | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Grizzlies | 43c | 84.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Grizzlies | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Grizzlies | 40c | 72.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Grizzlies | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies | 45c | 57.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Kings | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27a…134bbacked Kings | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Kings | 56c | 54.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Grizzlies | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 51.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Grizzlies | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Kings | 54c | 45.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 66c | 39.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 43c | 36.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c34…a10dbacked Kings | 52c | 36.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…0133backed Grizzlies | 47c | 33.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Grizzlies | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kings | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 28.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84c…326dbacked Kings | 55c | 27.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Grizzlies | 46c | 25.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Kings | 55c | 23.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…eb45backed Grizzlies | 47c | 21.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Grizzlies | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Kings | 54c | 18.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Kings won
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kings vs. GrizzliesKings won
- Kings vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Malik Monk: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Malik Monk: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Maxime Raynaud: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nique Clifford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nique Clifford: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Kings won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Kings won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Kings won
- Taylor Hendricks: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.