TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$381,849
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$428,729

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,849 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 376 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34f6…4535backed Over51c44,994$23,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,943.874355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under50c44,941$22,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,270.8238251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c11,533$5,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,003.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under54c9,890$5,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,323.591,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0d2…b729backed Over47c5,818$2,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,083.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecef…d32bbacked Under53c5,336$2,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf04a…fe01backed Under53c5,009$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…d1c0backed Under53c5,001$2,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcda5…1d62backed Over47c4,899$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,590.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09a8…f041backed Over47c4,824$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,556.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7897…beeebacked Over47c4,814$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ea…8245backed Over47c4,814$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,551.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0cc…d3b5backed Under53c4,525$2,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,398.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4fd…663cbacked Over47c4,404$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,334.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d3…475ebacked Over47c4,205$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc45d…bdfcbacked Under53c4,188$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over46c4,121$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.3422648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0107…fa75backed Under53c4,115$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e27…8acebacked Over47c4,022$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7038…9ab3backed Over47c4,022$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21bf…001bbacked Over47c4,011$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…c13fbacked Under53c4,009$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd1…3e3abacked Under53c4,001$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7002…8432backed Over47c3,788$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1903…6617backed Over47c3,756$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7db8…e603backed Under53c3,727$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe4b…a94abacked Under53c3,727$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3413…bc4cbacked Under53c3,636$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83a6…820cbacked Under53c3,636$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd14…b94cbacked Over47c3,616$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…4c03backed Over47c3,606$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,911.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c9…ba78backed Under53c3,513$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa60…6eb8backed Under53c3,435$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.5530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf49a…5f0dbacked Over47c3,414$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.42450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde1a…38b2backed Over47c3,355$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c3d…e351backed Under53c3,290$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.730%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xac16…ae1bbacked Over47c3,232$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc4b…9865backed Over47c3,212$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb46b…94fcbacked Over47c3,200$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e49…b5cdbacked Under53c3,131$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…53dabacked Over47c3,122$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb066…a2eabacked Over47c3,121$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e13…b9e9backed Over47c3,055$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2beb…8ce2backed Over47c3,044$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbc3…4129backed Over47c3,044$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d1…840dbacked Over47c2,977$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.812100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x009b…37a1backed Under53c2,908$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc93…f337backed Under53c2,899$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7dd…ac31backed Over47c2,888$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa544…03c2backed Under53c2,863$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f4…567ebacked Under53c2,844$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d90…7685backed Over47c2,835$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aef…79d8backed Under53c2,818$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc20f…3d45backed Over47c2,793$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77f4…3a66backed Over47c2,788$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ad…dd96backed Over47c2,783$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b2…21aabacked Over47c2,767$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3013…dbe1backed Under53c2,766$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc940…33e0backed Under53c2,734$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7d…935dbacked Over47c2,712$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x349b…38ecbacked Over47c2,708$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e82…4971backed Under53c2,701$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef7d…c793backed Under53c2,676$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75c9…5248backed Over47c2,635$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9965…fb25backed Over47c2,633$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf290…5369backed Over47c2,616$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc6…cacabacked Under53c2,616$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e4…f212backed Under53c2,615$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4099…9227backed Over47c2,602$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16f1…78e3backed Over47c2,544$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x333f…3784backed Under53c2,532$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41fc…271bbacked Under53c2,515$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82a7…b0cfbacked Over47c2,506$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x754c…fca7backed Over47c2,460$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd7e…1f6bbacked Under53c2,444$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f3…78dfbacked Over47c2,442$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee99…4bc7backed Over47c2,425$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0d7…eb7cbacked Under53c2,422$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5beb…e785backed Under53c2,414$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.4220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf83d…b5c9backed Under53c2,402$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over64c2,375$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.693,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e92…0305backed Under53c2,355$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eff…7d62backed Under53c2,352$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd71f…102bbacked Under53c2,341$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb928…be4dbacked Over47c2,325$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4586…f49bbacked Over47c2,323$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd394…f7f8backed Over47c2,322$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x925b…ee81backed Under53c2,274$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa05d…72c5backed Under53c2,258$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd8…d3b2backed Over47c2,235$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c7d…9308backed Over47c2,219$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over51c2,213$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.962,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under39c2,186$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.3744352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5da…1325backed Under53c2,142$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd16…ccb5backed Over47c2,131$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbb3…198abacked Over47c2,122$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cb5…6af0backed Over47c2,121$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.132100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8000…1806backed Over47c2,120$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c2,108$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.912,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c75…2f0ebacked Under53c2,100$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.