TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,847
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,843

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,847 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7298…fe8dbacked No66c1,636$1,080 inWon+$556.3665750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd0…ee95backed Yes34c1,165$400 inLost-$4006137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No66c763.68$504 inWon+$259.651,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x994a…3538backed Yes33c754.5$250 inLost-$250425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9719…6ffabacked No67c750.32$503 inWon+$247.56669.7%46 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed No67c659.66$442 inWon+$217.2326069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No69c634.68$436 inWon+$198.284,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa6…d493backed Yes34c558.6$189 inLost-$188.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-73%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x024d…f0debacked Yes32c518.61$165 inLost-$164.67540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No69c499.99$345 inWon+$15565762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb126…9848backed Yes31c485.96$150 inLost-$1501717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-55.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc4a…98c7backed Yes30c463.1$138 inLost-$138.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa8…2bd9backed Yes33c315.79$104 inLost-$103.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed Yes33c304.45$100 inLost-$1006342.9%27 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51bc…f2fabacked Yes34c205.61$70 inLost-$69.82321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1484…c91dbacked Yes33c124.24$41 inLost-$41728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d3d…a3e8backed Yes34c122$41 inLost-$41.412352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x295f…694ebacked Yes34c107.88$37 inLost-$36.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked No66c100$66 inWon+$3437750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9720…798abacked No66c99.99$66 inWon+$345470.4%38 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x74b2…850fbacked Yes33c91.24$30 inLost-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+228.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No68c63.93$43 inWon+$20.4683158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5430…c1d3backed No66c50$33 inWon+$1722774.4%169 W · 58 L+22.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed Yes32c47.03$15 inLost-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Yes34c44.12$15 inLost-$1532654.3%177 W · 149 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No70c40$28 inWon+$12.296956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No67c19.92$13 inWon+$6.5792058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.