TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Grizzlies, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,663
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,663 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc660…bd28backed Grizzlies50c38,604$19,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,30259347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings50c22,165$11,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,084.014,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings50c15,132$7,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,569.262,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Grizzlies51c11,571$5,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,902.151354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Kings49c10,893$5,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,555.331,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Kings50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Kings51c7,384$3,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,637.5329650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0601,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Kings50c4,666$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,332.891,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies50c4,091$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,046.314,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Kings49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Grizzlies48c3,832$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.2738251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings49c2,891$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.69,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Kings49c2,826$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.1624252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kings50c2,770$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3852,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings49c2,347$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.012,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Grizzlies50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00054443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Kings50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00015549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Grizzlies50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kings51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.781,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Kings57c1,767$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.6142348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Grizzlies51c1,720$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.841,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings57c1,600$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.628,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Grizzlies49c1,513$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.640243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Grizzlies50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75014448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies43c1,020$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.695,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Grizzlies50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028448.2%137 W · 147 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6789…6302backed Grizzlies51c786.84$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Grizzlies51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings50c713$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies43c599.65$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.854,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Grizzlies49c522.8$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.7411942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Grizzlies50c510$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25525951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Kings50c503.78$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.8920352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Kings50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25023644.1%104 W · 132 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Grizzlies6c449.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.921,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Grizzlies51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15052242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Grizzlies49c288.8$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3611945.4%54 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies50c259.97$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.463,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Kings51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.294746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Grizzlies52c202.18$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1058043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd5…9c28backed Grizzlies50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010445.2%47 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Kings50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808456%47 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Grizzlies50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7038242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Kings50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kings49c123.46$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.633,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Kings49c120.45$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4391148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Grizzlies51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.221854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Grizzlies51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kings50c106.94$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.473,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Grizzlies49c103.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8245850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Kings49c100.18$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0935843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Grizzlies51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Grizzlies49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4938545.7%176 W · 209 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Grizzlies51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519545.3%43 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62da…2fdabacked Kings50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Kings49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9915156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kings50c96.72$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.362,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Grizzlies52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Kings52c96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0866153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec55…6870backed Grizzlies51c96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.964443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Grizzlies51c89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3948451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Grizzlies30c86.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0465542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Grizzlies52c84.05$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.712,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaed4…4cc9backed Kings52c82.38$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.549439.4%37 W · 57 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings69c81.11$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.143,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x922e…7d04backed Kings50c76.19$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.17746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Kings52c70.87$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.911,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Kings55c68.27$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0414647.9%70 W · 76 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Grizzlies35c66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.12,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies49c59.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.243,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Grizzlies51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Kings51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8268542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Grizzlies51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3037852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Grizzlies44c57.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.11,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Grizzlies53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033249.7%165 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Grizzlies51c52.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2730452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…3a2abacked Grizzlies50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Kings50c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Grizzlies32c46.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Kings50c41.55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.771,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Kings51c40.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7638453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Kings53c40.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9691846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Grizzlies46c39.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9937845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c4c…b7b8backed Grizzlies51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015054%81 W · 69 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1a…7ddebacked Grizzlies31c38.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125036%18 W · 32 L-6.7wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Grizzlies52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41d7…7c97backed Kings52c32.35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.534763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf8…e9c3backed Kings50c31.68$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Grizzlies51c30.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.421,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Grizzlies50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies44c29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.713,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Grizzlies49c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5939055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Kings50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick69cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89d9…5136backed Grizzlies51c23.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Kings79c20.77$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3625655.5%142 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3e7…a322backed Grizzlies53c20.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Grizzlies50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5e…d8f4backed Kings65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd944…07d5backed Kings52c19.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.443053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.