TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Grizzlies, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$197,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,084

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,858 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa21…1438backed Kings61c40,974$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,973.6716848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Kings55c33,100$18,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,767.9811457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Grizzlies40c30,060$12,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,02411653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies40c11,796$4,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,718.5187144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Grizzlies40c10,175$4,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,07020948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaccb…61dcbacked Kings60c4,277$2,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.873171%22 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b7b…3f8fbacked Grizzlies44c3,913$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb59…df48backed Kings56c3,882$2,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+105.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Grizzlies40c3,674$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.655534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings60c3,109$1,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.444,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Kings52c2,940$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.21,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc023…804fbacked Grizzlies44c2,933$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x589f…aa99backed Grizzlies44c2,930$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe596…9008backed Kings56c2,909$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d9f…8879backed Grizzlies44c2,756$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdea…2545backed Kings56c2,672$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90f8…a872backed Kings56c2,665$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x207b…8d78backed Kings56c2,560$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab86…76c7backed Grizzlies44c2,549$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b82…997cbacked Kings56c2,514$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b0c…95b5backed Grizzlies44c2,090$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9edb…9566backed Kings56c1,943$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5d8…55dbbacked Grizzlies44c1,850$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Grizzlies41c1,561$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332c…e9afbacked Grizzlies44c1,547$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4659…fa2abacked Kings56c1,423$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies23c1,348$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.028,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab65…4a03backed Grizzlies39c1,208$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.114647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Grizzlies43c1,160$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.822143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Grizzlies42c1,160$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.295651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6db…fcfcbacked Kings55c1,130$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.491747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505d…6c61backed Grizzlies45c1,122$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.91428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9931…ea8cbacked Grizzlies40c915.75$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.32944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Grizzlies41c901.98$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.8154443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Grizzlies42c750.74$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.9511942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Kings61c737.7$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.746258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Grizzlies41c700$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28733146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Grizzlies48c693$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.641,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies42c651.11$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.754,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies41c637.15$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.793,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Grizzlies40c625$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.876552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Kings60c568$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22651354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Grizzlies43c541.01$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.551,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Kings59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4747651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies41c489.55$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.824,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Kings59c409.99$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9951651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Grizzlies42c386.4$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5759140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Grizzlies40c350.44$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1835843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1760…c4edbacked Kings61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.874564.4%29 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20a6…0b06backed Kings61c310.74$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.191464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Grizzlies41c243.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.738350.4%193 W · 190 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies41c238.94$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.593,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Kings60c236.9$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.761,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb36d…de27backed Grizzlies41c215.08$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.122744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Kings59c205.11$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1118256.6%103 W · 79 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Grizzlies40c203.91$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5624428.7%70 W · 174 L-22.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Kings61c194.59$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.891,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Kings57c174.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.51,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…6296backed Grizzlies28c170.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Kings60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6790957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x560a…2d27backed Kings61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.932281.8%18 W · 4 L+5.6wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+58.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb431…b654backed Grizzlies39c161.64$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.041947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Grizzlies48c156.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756235.5%22 W · 40 L-10.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Kings59c155$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5512642.1%53 W · 73 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings60c154.73$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.59,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies42c154.57$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.842,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies43c152.25$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.323,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d4d…f103backed Grizzlies39c148.77$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.021526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e02…1da8backed Kings60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Kings60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508357.8%48 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Grizzlies40c121.95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.782,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Grizzlies42c105$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.162541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings72c103.53$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.553,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings58c102.58$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.686,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a7…ac24backed Grizzlies41c100.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.144632.6%15 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Kings80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2022170.6%156 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fad…374cbacked Grizzlies41c93$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.218644.1%82 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa0…be2dbacked Grizzlies41c92.44$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.99445.7%43 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Grizzlies40c90.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1664844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ec5…9fe0backed Kings65c86.14$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5116853%89 W · 79 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Kings71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.514643.5%20 W · 26 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-26%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Grizzlies42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.437549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Grizzlies28c67.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.641,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Kings60c67.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.71,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c9d…8498backed Grizzlies45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Kings58c66.48$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.641,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Grizzlies40c65.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.114754.4%80 W · 67 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01bd…8357backed Grizzlies48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303928.2%11 W · 28 L-7.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-46.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Grizzlies43c61.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.387851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea4b…dedebacked Grizzlies41c60.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258055%44 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Grizzlies39c58.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9187453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Kings60c58.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3349358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Kings72c57.42$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0837848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e2…3c77backed Grizzlies40c53.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.445944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings59c52.34$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.462,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Kings52c50.41$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.229352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd3…bd7fbacked Kings60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206966.7%46 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…569fbacked Grizzlies40c49.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209745.4%44 W · 53 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd27a…134bbacked Kings62c48.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.375100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.