TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb36d…de27

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 53 out of 100; worst Commodities at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,327Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,326.92
Spread: Hornets (-8.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$54.45
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$49.12
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+138.1%+$60.15
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.56
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$43.56
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$30.27
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$74.17
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$43.56
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$16.94
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+69.5%+$30.27
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$43.56
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$43.56
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+100%+$87.12
Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$47.19
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$43.55
Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$43.56
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$43.56
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$43.56
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$87.12
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$43.56
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$87.12
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$98.24
Spread: Hornets (-11.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$51.14
Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$43.56
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$42.78
Utah vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$54.45
Predators vs. Stars: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$37.11
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.78
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,039.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+170.3%+$74.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$145.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$21.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$109.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$43.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$44.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.