NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15e517ffe17079b822ecba75adc9479b02cd6f8cffb96a748e43c98189a408ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $735,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $740,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $735,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 49c | 453,745$222,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231,457.3 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Magic | 51c | 200,000$102,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Magic | 51c | 139,900$71,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,349 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic | 51c | 65,226$33,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,289.25 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 51c | 37,666$19,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,336.33 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Pistons | 48c | 35,000$16,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,299.94 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Magic | 51c | 30,031$15,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,416.27 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 51c | 24,544$12,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,503.21 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 54c | 18,270$9,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,865.83 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…f592backed Magic | 0c | 17,870$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 48c | 16,691$7,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,748.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…c15fbacked Pistons | 49c | 16,543$8,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,436.86 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pistons | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Magic | 52c | 11,538$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Pistons | 46c | 11,220$5,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,058.8 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Magic | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons | 50c | 9,963$4,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,981.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6990…6185backed Magic | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 53c | 7,502$3,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,945.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Pistons | 48c | 6,048$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,145.07 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…8c20backed Magic | 56c | 5,353$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Pistons | 49c | 5,049$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.98 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Pistons | 48c | 4,645$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.21 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Magic | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Magic | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.99 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Magic | 52c | 3,863$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Magic | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Magic | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.83 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Pistons | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Magic | 52c | 3,026$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.36 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 51c | 2,994$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.94 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 44c | 2,926$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons | 47c | 2,792$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.78 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 52c | 2,610$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Magic | 53c | 2,538$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.75 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Pistons | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Magic | 52c | 2,031$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.41 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Magic | 51c | 2,000$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Pistons | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 47c | 1,738$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.41 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic | 52c | 1,650$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.34 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 46c | 1,428$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.64 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Pistons | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Pistons | 48c | 1,369$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.72 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Magic | 51c | 1,208$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Magic | 53c | 1,150$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.5 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pistons | 49c | 1,023$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.98 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Pistons | 49c | 1,017$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.86 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Magic | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Magic | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Magic | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Magic | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Magic | 53c | 943.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Magic | 52c | 805.11$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.36 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Pistons | 45c | 803.16$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.74 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Pistons | 49c | 771.43$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.43 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Magic | 53c | 748.27$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.05 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Magic | 56c | 720.18$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.3 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9505…2672backed Magic | 51c | 720$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…508fbacked Pistons | 50c | 718$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…4b42backed Magic | 50c | 716$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7a…9786backed Magic | 50c | 716$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4033…90b2backed Magic | 50c | 708$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c2…0644backed Pistons | 50c | 708$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Pistons | 49c | 699.96$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.93 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…408dbacked Magic | 51c | 695$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed42…9bd3backed Pistons | 50c | 694$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7128…8c84backed Magic | 50c | 690$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299a…1faabacked Magic | 50c | 690$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa46a…c13abacked Pistons | 50c | 688$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…960abacked Pistons | 50c | 686$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaae…26fabacked Magic | 50c | 686$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…f898backed Pistons | 50c | 684$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb73…4182backed Pistons | 50c | 684$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0059…cacabacked Pistons | 50c | 684$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca7…8438backed Magic | 50c | 682$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd185…371ebacked Magic | 51c | 681$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2f…8209backed Magic | 51c | 678$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b2…959ebacked Magic | 51c | 676$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac7…344dbacked Pistons | 49c | 675$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…ab81backed Magic | 51c | 675$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…66ebbacked Magic | 51c | 675$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…0cdbbacked Magic | 50c | 674.96$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a660backed Pistons | 50c | 674$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2b…218dbacked Pistons | 50c | 674$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…4463backed Magic | 50c | 673$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd129…43ebbacked Pistons | 50c | 672$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…45b2backed Magic | 50c | 672$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…ff8bbacked Pistons | 49c | 672$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb9…0879backed Pistons | 49c | 672$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…5ea5backed Magic | 51c | 670$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Magic | 52c | 666.62$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.64 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…5a24backed Magic | 50c | 666$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f2…9a6fbacked Pistons | 49c | 666$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…dda0backed Pistons | 49c | 665$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa532…ab67backed Magic | 50c | 660$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…4bd8backed Magic | 50c | 660$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…0f77backed Pistons | 50c | 660$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6207…cd02backed Pistons | 50c | 660$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fb…8cdcbacked Magic | 50c | 660$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)this page
- Anthony Black: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Pistons vs. MagicPistons won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 212.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 216.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 217.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 220.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 221.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Under won
- Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.