TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,563
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,563 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4435…0840backed Over50c15,343$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,60026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under52c12,520$6,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,059.721,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under49c10,115$4,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,147.541,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over53c6,716$3,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,559.471,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under48c4,971$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,584.777348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c4,440$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.674,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over52c3,050$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over48c2,542$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22070246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under60c2,045$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.41,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c1,786$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.772,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under50c1,228$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.8564651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over50c1,205$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60015450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c1,154$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.522,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c1,060$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1764…cf64backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5102138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Under51c877$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.7322143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18b2…9141backed Over52c801.75$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.916453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Under62c792.23$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.3314456.3%81 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c742.26$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.682,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c742.15$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.453,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Over32c736.27$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.319435.1%68 W · 126 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3129842.9%42 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over44c599.72$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.8823435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Under52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9211157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over52c566.03$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.3464944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9187453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Over52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over32c450.01$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.442,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over36c415.57$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.213,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under77c413.4$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.431249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over49c404$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.961,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c399.96$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.983,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c386.49$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.854,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Under57c361.69$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.916872.1%49 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under54c337.17$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6540243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1d…d8c0backed Over46c327.52$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.465139.2%20 W · 31 L-7.4wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under61c314.32$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3937842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14432450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over50c297$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.491,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c282.68$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.822,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over50c251.14$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5748352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over34c210.18$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5676653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3d6…e952backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over32c166.65$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.022,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over28c145.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.091,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under79c138.56$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.13,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over24c126.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8218438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over49c121.21$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.392,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Under51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6572250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over51c116.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4991148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over49c99.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9939435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf11b…3fe3backed Under68c99.83$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.446056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over51c98.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3428348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over42c76.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8765630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8812…98f5backed Under52c69.9$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.55333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under60c64.5$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under62c64.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2129040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Under52c60.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0745653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under59c60.73$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.937652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under59c58$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7813850%69 W · 69 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Under52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6910548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Over23c52.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Over50c51.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7621459.3%127 W · 87 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Under49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0224042.9%103 W · 137 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under51c45.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.452,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over38c43.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5239047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf2…31f0backed Over51c41.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over51c39.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019848.5%96 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2236350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2246…e958backed Over29c38.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over34c35.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.112227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7307…7d23backed Over50c34.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3811661.2%71 W · 45 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ce7…7cfabacked Under50c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.52748.1%13 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over51c23.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7852246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over51c22.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6953349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under48c21.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3930151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Under51c21.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5731151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0112…4fe9backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104949%24 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.887950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1096956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.221948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1018628%52 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under74c15.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0765542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.