NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01f9554e9f201fcb213e80d75f14d64fa24f5ce41cd5396bb0777c19f4587cd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 4c | 3,028$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.12 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 58c | 1,785$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.1 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Under | 44c | 1,647$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.31 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 1,053$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 39c | 799.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 32c | 796$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.78 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 716.64$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.35 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 42c | 562.28$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.56 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 41c | 481.65$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.75 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fe…9f73backed Under | 44c | 477.81$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.57 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 25c | 383.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 43c | 361.58$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.1 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 56c | 355.81$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 56c | 312.69$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.71 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 42c | 246.1$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 21c | 239.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 27c | 223.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 52c | 214.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.71 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 48c | 208.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 23c | 175.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5996…bad8backed Over | 43c | 106.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 34c | 101$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e7…a322backed Under | 61c | 81.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 59c | 62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 60c | 58.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 40c | 57.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 60c | 49.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 44c | 47.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Over | 32c | 41.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 40.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 40c | 40.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Under | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 201 | 40.3%81 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Under | 40c | 38.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a2…1bc7backed Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 36.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Over | 60c | 33.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…ce1abacked Under | 50c | 30.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f3…243abacked Over | 60c | 26.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…ccf8backed Over | 60c | 23.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 220.5this page
- Anthony Black: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Pistons vs. MagicPistons won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 212.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 216.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 217.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 221.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Under won
- Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.