TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Anthony Black: Assists O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,829
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,829 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4861…4fcabacked Yes1c20,419$208 inLost-$207.8914858.1%86 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yes39c1,068$412 inLost-$411.835,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No61c600$366 inWon+$23465762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes33c452.18$150 inLost-$15023850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes3c361$11 inLost-$10.8318438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x043f…ca25backed No67c299.99$201 inWon+$996361.9%39 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No72c197$142 inWon+$54.784,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed No74c179.22$133 inWon+$46.645657%260 W · 196 L+44.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed No61c164.26$100 inWon+$64.2626069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd934…a590backed Yes25c105$27 inLost-$26.61040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Yes26c87.5$23 inLost-$22.584447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30cf…16e7backed Yes26c69.51$18 inLost-$181020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-66%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5430…c1d3backed No68c65$44 inWon+$20.822774.4%169 W · 58 L+22.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes40c30$12 inLost-$1232352.6%170 W · 153 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.