NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73b5e46f7621408f39bb123b76496521adbf07dd2740265761dfb37c61b8587d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,800,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,085,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,800,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,431 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Pistons | 65c | 292,717$191,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,491.01 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Pistons | 65c | 240,967$157,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,606.85 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Magic | 34c | 106,282$36,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,135.91 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Magic | 34c | 98,800$33,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,592 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Magic | 35c | 78,536$27,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,481.44 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 35c | 76,531$26,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,804.05 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Magic | 35c | 75,779$26,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,545.56 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Pistons | 66c | 75,000$49,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,500 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons | 65c | 69,975$45,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,339.14 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Magic | 35c | 65,364$22,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,877.4 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pistons | 75c | 64,443$48,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,980.56 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Pistons | 66c | 60,000$39,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,315.7 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Magic | 55c | 60,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,999.91 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic | 37c | 59,345$22,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,084.3 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Pistons | 45c | 46,667$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,666.67 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 35c | 45,864$15,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,996.89 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…f660backed Magic | 34c | 43,048$14,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,636.48 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 35c | 42,268$14,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,791.72 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…e479backed Pistons | 47c | 34,503$16,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,423.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Magic | 34c | 30,400$10,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,336 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Magic | 40c | 30,074$12,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,018.99 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pistons | 66c | 30,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Magic | 34c | 29,842$10,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,146.25 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons | 65c | 28,647$18,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,045.1 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 41c | 27,962$11,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,520.35 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pistons | 65c | 25,041$16,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,713.17 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Magic | 34c | 25,000$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Magic | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 48c | 24,727$11,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,834.98 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Magic | 22c | 23,080$5,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,189.03 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed Magic | 35c | 22,363$7,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,827.05 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Pistons | 61c | 21,032$12,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,251.82 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Magic | 29c | 19,830$5,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,668.87 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Pistons | 63c | 19,804$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,303.54 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 40c | 18,972$7,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,579.21 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Pistons | 63c | 16,577$10,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,122.26 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 67c | 15,833$10,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,253.53 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Pistons | 66c | 15,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Magic | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a87…bce2backed Pistons | 66c | 14,959$9,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,079.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…da92backed Magic | 39c | 13,613$5,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,253.63 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4c…444cbacked Pistons | 62c | 13,000$8,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,939.97 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 34c | 12,816$4,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,357.41 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…0674backed Magic | 1c | 12,200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Magic | 34c | 12,160$4,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,134.39 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Pistons | 51c | 11,947$6,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,854.01 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 39c | 11,179$4,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,391.92 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pistons | 66c | 11,056$7,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,766.03 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Pistons | 54c | 10,508$5,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,809.55 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Magic | 35c | 10,259$3,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,602.81 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Magic | 49c | 10,130$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Magic | 6c | 10,048$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.44 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Pistons | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Magic | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Magic | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.94 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Magic | 35c | 9,999$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,532.98 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Pistons | 65c | 9,707$6,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,397.4 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Pistons | 55c | 9,675$5,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,312.1 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Pistons | 57c | 8,844$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.99 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Magic | 35c | 8,737$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.93 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Magic | 35c | 8,619$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976.47 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Magic | 35c | 8,571$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 44c | 8,281$3,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,636.02 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Magic | 34c | 8,217$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.88 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Magic | 55c | 8,111$4,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,446.89 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Magic | 17c | 8,007$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.08 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Pistons | 66c | 7,442$4,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.42 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Pistons | 65c | 7,385$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.62 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Pistons | 46c | 7,300$3,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,942 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 2c | 7,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Magic | 35c | 6,997$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 63c | 6,850$4,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.81 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pistons | 77c | 6,557$5,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.62 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Magic | 56c | 6,210$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480.37 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcecb…2c02backed Magic | 34c | 5,900$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Magic | 35c | 5,832$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…fb82backed Pistons | 58c | 5,782$3,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Magic | 0c | 5,770$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…737ebacked Pistons | 67c | 5,500$3,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492e…2fb8backed Magic | 33c | 5,500$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Magic | 0c | 5,360$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…e27fbacked Magic | 34c | 5,324$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Pistons | 58c | 5,209$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.01 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Magic | 35c | 5,186$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Pistons | 67c | 5,180$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.72 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed Magic | 35c | 5,145$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.8 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 39c | 5,142$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.59 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Magic | 34c | 5,132$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.81 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Magic | 34c | 5,011$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.58 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Pistons | 75c | 5,008$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.9 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Pistons | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pistons | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…ea3ebacked Magic | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Magic | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Magic | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.97 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Magic | 2c | 4,900$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…99ddbacked Pistons | 64c | 4,800$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.98 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 62c | 4,628$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Pistons | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Magicthis page
- Anthony Black: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 212.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 216.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 217.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 220.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 221.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Under won
- Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.