NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22b3a996a47e1cfa5b6fc59277f422d1073a83293edd135ccddba22879a81dd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.98 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 19c | 986$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.34 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 923.04$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 43c | 713.46$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.38 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 42c | 568.7$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.51 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 43c | 465$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.05 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 42c | 418.74$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.33 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.07 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 46c | 269.57$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.57 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 43c | 243.93$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 61c | 203.42$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.43 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 42c | 199.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked Under | 71c | 199.17$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 41c | 174.62$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 53c | 170.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.45 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 56c | 155.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 44c | 151.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 142.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Over | 58c | 130$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…c67cbacked Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 60c | 115.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 60c | 109.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 43c | 105.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 59c | 101.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 53c | 100.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 44c | 99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 58c | 86.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc980…0a06backed Over | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 81.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…8498backed Under | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 73.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 54c | 63.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Under | 62c | 63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 43c | 58.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 56c | 52.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 54c | 51.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 62c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 45.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 31c | 40.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 33.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…05b5backed Under | 42c | 26.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Over | 43c | 25.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 68c | 20.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 148 | 58.1%86 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 58c | 17.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 221.5this page
- Anthony Black: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Pistons vs. MagicPistons won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 212.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 216.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 217.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 220.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Under won
- Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.