TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,237
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,237 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Pistons52c19,265$10,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,247.241,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic48c18,814$9,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,019.22,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pistons52c15,385$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,384.6211457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Magic48c14,151$6,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,781.11,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Magic51c10,678$5,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,441.054,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,079.991,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Magic48c7,406$3,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5551,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Magic49c5,315$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,591.74,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Pistons55c4,537$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.743250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9601,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Pistons50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Magic48c3,333$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.841,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Pistons52c3,300$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,58427546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Pistons49c2,863$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.591,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Pistons55c2,499$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.0750653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Magic51c2,205$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.322,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67d6…b04bbacked Pistons51c2,041$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.183268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Magic49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pistons49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0202,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Pistons53c1,860$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.951354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons52c1,698$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.983,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Magic50c1,502$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Pistons51c1,430$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.354643.5%20 W · 26 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-26%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Magic44c1,379$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.1540243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pistons52c1,278$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.2559347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Magic53c1,031$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.3915450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Magic49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Magic48c999.97$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9945647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic50c983$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.51,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Magic48c981.19$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.856,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Magic51c911.82$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.595,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Magic50c836$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4182,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons51c755.6$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.924,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons53c564.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.338,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Pistons49c555.67$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.3976653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Magic67c476.02$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.173,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Pistons52c365.38$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3811044.5%49 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Pistons50c303$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.52,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Magic48c299.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Magic47c292.57$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.273,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Magic49c291.84$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1439944.4%44 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pistons53c283.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.731,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons52c231$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.631,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons35c220.49$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.323,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Magic45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9095548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Pistons42c187$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4518438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Magic53c168.51$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6388057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Magic53c162.07$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.631,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pistons49c155.26$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.182,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Magic48c150.94$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6365630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Magic54c146.23$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4421459.3%127 W · 87 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Pistons50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7038242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Pistons52c139.02$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7376552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Pistons53c134.54$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2322048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pistons51c129.66$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.133,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Pistons54c128.89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8972250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Magic51c123.52$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6391846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Magic65c123.11$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5487744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Magic48c122.45$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7855846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Pistons52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3810955%60 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Magic56c104.41$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3219435.1%68 W · 126 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7307…7d23backed Magic54c103.51$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8411661.2%71 W · 45 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x542d…63aebacked Pistons39c101.19$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.085100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+103.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Magic48c101.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5562844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x282c…13f2backed Pistons52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Magic49c99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.511,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Magic50c98.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0223349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Pistons51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0417342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea33…ae06backed Pistons52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1511759.8%70 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Pistons52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1540541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Pistons52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1551651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons51c88.13$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.182,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Pistons51c87.16$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7189050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Pistons48c83.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4437652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Pistons51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.221854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Pistons54c77.78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7816555.2%91 W · 74 L-12.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pistons54c77.58$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.843,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Magic48c77.12$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.051,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Magic41c76.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.811,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Pistons51c76.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.424650%23 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Pistons53c75.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4633554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Magic48c74.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Magic48c73.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.231,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Pistons61c65.32$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.61,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Pistons52c63.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4649246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Pistons52c62.54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0289853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Pistons52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons47c58.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.173,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd9…aea9backed Pistons52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6910156.4%57 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Pistons50c57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.513850%69 W · 69 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aff…0512backed Pistons53c50.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.822236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Pistons52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Magic45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.514151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eca…8602backed Pistons53c49.65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52fe…effdbacked Pistons52c49.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.88840.9%36 W · 52 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Magic49c44.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8526043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Magic46c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.245,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70a…6de8backed Magic36c40.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.758460.7%51 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf47…6c2ebacked Pistons52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9f…3544backed Magic51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.