TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,104,664
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,213,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,104,664 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 993 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Mavericks64c251,250$160,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160,799.9943542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Mavericks63c250,364$158,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158,732.7351844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Grizzlies36c131,076$47,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,888.561,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Grizzlies37c99,997$36,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,998.2140446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies42c98,310$40,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,340.862,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Mavericks61c95,503$58,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,075.430845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Grizzlies36c60,460$21,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,694.361,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies37c54,018$19,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,051.214,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Grizzlies37c50,000$18,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,50011955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Grizzlies37c48,300$17,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,42911653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Grizzlies46c47,998$21,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,079.7342348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Grizzlies37c40,919$15,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,580.3936359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Grizzlies36c40,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,599.9510930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks64c37,856$24,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,047.961,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks65c28,248$18,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,248.871,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Mavericks0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bc1…ace2backed Mavericks58c24,172$14,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,019.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecf1…92c9backed Grizzlies42c24,171$10,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,017.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Grizzlies37c21,193$7,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,404.4828649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Mavericks63c20,200$12,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,725.941,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Mavericks63c20,000$12,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,599.9148054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Grizzlies37c17,809$6,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,219.364953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies73c17,106$12,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,551.764,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Grizzlies35c15,400$5,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,009.6929245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks55c15,370$8,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,528.152,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Mavericks64c15,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,60037557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Mavericks64c15,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,60077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb5…3fbfbacked Grizzlies36c15,000$5,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,5506445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Mavericks62c14,480$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Mavericks63c13,074$8,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,236.6232540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Mavericks64c13,048$8,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,350.7248352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Grizzlies36c13,028$4,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,337.9292753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies37c12,911$4,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,150.253,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Mavericks65c12,350$8,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,027.52352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Grizzlies75c12,078$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,077.6219136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies76c11,807$8,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,854.131,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Grizzlies37c10,916$4,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,877.2244352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Grizzlies35c10,784$3,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,009.2859347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Mavericks53c10,639$5,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,640.3227251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Mavericks61c10,371$6,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,356.791,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Grizzlies36c10,257$3,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,564.4831644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f60…43ffbacked Mavericks0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Grizzlies36c9,360$3,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,990.435744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Grizzlies37c9,000$3,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,67012245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Mavericks66c8,700$5,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7429054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Grizzlies34c8,700$2,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,741.858640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks40c8,516$3,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,396.275,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Mavericks62c8,510$5,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,292.8158951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Grizzlies36c8,473$3,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,430.7751354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Grizzlies39c8,312$3,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,070.4839349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eda…9c47backed Grizzlies37c8,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0401040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x646e…3b1dbacked Mavericks63c8,000$5,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0706023.3%14 W · 46 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-46.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Grizzlies37c7,947$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,006.5524744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Grizzlies38c7,895$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,894.741,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies38c7,585$2,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,702.92,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Mavericks64c7,500$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Grizzlies40c7,459$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,458.9338046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Mavericks12c7,363$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.1682442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e03…b1d0backed Grizzlies45c7,200$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,960333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ce…7001backed Mavericks55c7,200$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,96020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Grizzlies39c7,000$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,27045850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Mavericks63c7,000$4,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,429.998944.9%40 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c03…d894backed Grizzlies36c6,877$2,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,401.45848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Mavericks65c6,666$4,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,332.8736741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Grizzlies37c6,540$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,120.213142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Grizzlies53c6,061$3,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.8717246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Grizzlies36c6,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8408441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f04…73d5backed Mavericks64c6,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,839.985444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies68c5,828$3,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.533,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mavericks26c5,661$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.831,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Mavericks51c5,400$2,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,73648956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed Mavericks61c5,390$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3006848.5%33 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Mavericks62c5,254$3,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,257.341,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Grizzlies37c5,200$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,27631455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks62c5,189$3,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,206.244,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Mavericks0c5,084$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.171234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Grizzlies38c5,000$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,077.7887750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Grizzlies39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,05046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Grizzlies39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0503050%15 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Grizzlies38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.9921549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd2b…7f04backed Grizzlies36c4,900$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1368348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Mavericks65c4,830$3,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,139.550241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Grizzlies37c4,676$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,945.684438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Grizzlies50c4,657$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.7527865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Mavericks0c4,550$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.758820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Grizzlies36c4,508$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,885.3217550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Grizzlies39c4,500$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,74541652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5064…3ba3backed Grizzlies41c4,465$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,655.115242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Grizzlies36c4,450$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.0720355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Grizzlies69c4,400$3,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36413148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks40c4,168$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.231,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…b1a9backed Grizzlies36c4,167$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.671330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Grizzlies36c4,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,56079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Grizzlies36c4,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,56038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed Mavericks65c4,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.875658.9%33 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+21.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies71c3,948$2,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.891,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks42c3,883$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.153,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Mavericks61c3,801$2,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,318.612,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa264…3f1cbacked Mavericks66c3,801$2,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,508.48742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Grizzlies35c3,761$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,453.3354246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.