NBA · resolved market
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cacfd1db1b960def7bfe9f834982c9c0bff60207f57e7b01b6675f58a6ba63b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Mavericks, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $549,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $554,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Mavericks | 50c | 239,259$119,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119,236.87 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Grizzlies | 50c | 156,964$78,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,637.37 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks | 50c | 119,780$59,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,889.97 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks | 50c | 41,102$20,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,755.14 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Grizzlies | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Grizzlies | 50c | 27,805$14,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,791.36 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies | 51c | 26,474$13,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,890.22 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Grizzlies | 50c | 24,152$12,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,075.95 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 23,963$11,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,981.2 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Grizzlies | 52c | 21,312$11,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,231.48 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Grizzlies | 50c | 20,200$10,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,100 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Grizzlies | 50c | 20,100$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,050 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Grizzlies | 50c | 19,843$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,843.14 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda55…df49backed Grizzlies | 50c | 19,800$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Mavericks | 51c | 14,805$7,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,548.76 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e9…21b4backed Mavericks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…f1fcbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 8,479$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,239.4 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d72…8f96backed Grizzlies | 50c | 8,400$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 8,200$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.17 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Grizzlies | 50c | 7,000$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.1 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Grizzlies | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Mavericks | 52c | 5,966$3,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102.31 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks | 51c | 5,330$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.6 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 5,142$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.62 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 5,006$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.9 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Mavericks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Mavericks | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Mavericks | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 4,596$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.04 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Grizzlies | 51c | 4,168$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.38 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mavericks | 47c | 4,020$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.4 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Grizzlies | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Mavericks | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Mavericks | 48c | 3,081$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.26 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,075$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.2 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…e904backed Mavericks | 53c | 2,528$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Grizzlies | 48c | 2,464$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.18 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,976$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.68 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Mavericks | 48c | 1,925$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.14 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,617$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.75 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,601$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.72 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 46c | 1,434$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,002$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies | 49c | 896.7$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.83 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Mavericks | 52c | 856.44$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 764.99$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.48 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Grizzlies | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies | 49c | 552.92$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.73 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Mavericks | 51c | 539.22$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Grizzlies | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Grizzlies | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…d2b5backed Mavericks | 51c | 392.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d46…5112backed Mavericks | 51c | 392.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Grizzlies | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Mavericks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Mavericks | 52c | 387.8$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Grizzlies | 50c | 343$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.3 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Mavericks | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Mavericks | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Grizzlies | 48c | 275.75$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.39 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 51c | 220.04$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Grizzlies | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Grizzlies | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Mavericks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Grizzlies | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Mavericks | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Mavericks | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Grizzlies | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Grizzlies | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…1477backed Mavericks | 52c | 161.77$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Grizzlies | 48c | 155.2$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x453f…6b3bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 153.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 147.53$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Mavericks | 48c | 130.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Mavericks | 56c | 125.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 274 | 62%170 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Grizzlies | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Mavericks | 51c | 102$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Grizzlies | 50c | 100.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Mavericks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Grizzlies | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Grizzlies | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Grizzlies | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…ab55backed Mavericks | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 99.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Mavericks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bde…237abacked Mavericks | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed Mavericks | 51c | 86.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks | 48c | 72.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)this page
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 15.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. MavericksGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5Under won
- Khris Middleton: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Khris Middleton: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Khris Middleton: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 16.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)Grizzlies won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.