TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Khris Middleton: Assists O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,601

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,604 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked No56c2,348$1,327 inWon+$1,021.661,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No46c2,000$920 inWon+$1,0805,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes47c512.5$241 inLost-$240.8895651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No60c477.57$288 inWon+$189.8365762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e39…fc4cbacked Yes46c463.56$211 inLost-$2111154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes45c349.12$156 inLost-$156.3793145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Yes46c277.82$128 inLost-$127.9119950.8%101 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfb4…a5d6backed Yes40c246.44$98 inLost-$98520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e85…788bbacked Yes37c223.72$82 inLost-$81.8415651.9%81 W · 75 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd598…c67cbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost-$1009037.8%34 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6793…1869backed Yes40c200$80 inLost-$807022.9%16 W · 54 L-14.1wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-50.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No58c183.44$106 inWon+$77.4892058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No58c170.68$99 inWon+$71.2483158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes39c154.7$61 inLost-$60.671449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed No46c80.59$37 inWon+$43.5236954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x068c…c5bebacked Yes37c78.38$29 inLost-$293630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa844…6179backed Yes50c60$30 inLost-$303732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No54c40$22 inWon+$18.488057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No54c22$12 inWon+$10.14,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.