NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a5b1be05719d957f62aee6756262c18405fbb83f1b6035274a7a02df1148f32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Over | 54c | 12,665$6,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,796.9 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 46c | 7,168$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,866.64 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 46c | 2,887$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.96 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f63…57b9backed Over | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 53c | 1,739$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.01 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Under | 47c | 1,512$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.56 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f06…216ebacked Under | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Over | 76c | 1,308$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 53c | 1,302$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.17 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 1,298$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.22 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 21c | 1,193$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.46 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 1,011$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.94 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over | 50c | 999.69$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb6…8977backed Under | 45c | 950$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Over | 54c | 933.84$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 609.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.46 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf9…3e2cbacked Under | 50c | 530$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c7…59fbbacked Over | 50c | 496$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…1ba5backed Over | 50c | 490$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eca…5130backed Under | 49c | 484$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426b…2f8dbacked Under | 50c | 484$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a0…6875backed Under | 50c | 482$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…e732backed Under | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa450…cb1cbacked Under | 50c | 476$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa945…13e2backed Under | 49c | 470$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 46c | 463$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.02 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0c…5591backed Over | 51c | 463$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…33f7backed Under | 49c | 458$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c44…f3d1backed Over | 50c | 458$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7530…b533backed Under | 49c | 456$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd7…8124backed Under | 51c | 452$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…e224backed Under | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d6…b0e6backed Over | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fa…c423backed Over | 50c | 436$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2b…b673backed Under | 51c | 434$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…2e76backed Under | 50c | 432$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f3…98a5backed Over | 51c | 431$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac20…0714backed Over | 50c | 426$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…de68backed Over | 49c | 421$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…174cbacked Over | 50c | 418$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f05…5a02backed Over | 50c | 410$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…ac69backed Over | 50c | 398$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e675backed Over | 49c | 398$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b1…2221backed Over | 50c | 396$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037d…752bbacked Over | 51c | 390.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4f…56d9backed Over | 51c | 386$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0d…2440backed Under | 50c | 376$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 53c | 375.19$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.51 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4585…38c1backed Over | 51c | 375$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…abc5backed Over | 49c | 367$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…5e91backed Under | 50c | 366$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…9f39backed Under | 49c | 354$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772f…4d49backed Over | 49c | 328.88$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e8…081abacked Over | 49c | 325$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…4d78backed Over | 51c | 324$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4153…95f6backed Under | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…b9febacked Under | 50c | 314$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…55a3backed Under | 51c | 313$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeee…014ebacked Over | 51c | 312$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…e5f3backed Under | 51c | 312$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd049…7f8cbacked Under | 50c | 306$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa833…c29fbacked Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 48c | 275.72$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.37 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 46c | 271.83$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.79 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…b399backed Over | 50c | 238$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 45c | 187.58$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 175.95$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 158.64$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.67 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Under | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…109bbacked Over | 55c | 151$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 56c | 143.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 125.08$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 53c | 110.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 92.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 53c | 86.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…022dbacked Under | 47c | 84.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 82.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…ff78backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Under | 45c | 73.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 55c | 72.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Over | 57c | 70.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…68ebbacked Under | 49c | 69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Under | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 47c | 58.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 46c | 39.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 39.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x230c…d36fbacked Under | 45c | 33.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5this page
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 15.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. MavericksGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5Under won
- Khris Middleton: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Khris Middleton: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Khris Middleton: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 16.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)Grizzlies won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.