NBA · resolved market
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78e7ac0a99d7161dd37c95667aa9c79fead116089846363347d4f750a767e1c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Mavericks, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 46c | 3,343$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.74 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Grizzlies | 53c | 2,882$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.49 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 2,787$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.89 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Grizzlies | 54c | 2,538$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.37 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…8c20backed Grizzlies | 55c | 2,033$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,029$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.4 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 46c | 960.2$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.69 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Mavericks | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Grizzlies | 53c | 614.28$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.91 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Mavericks | 46c | 590.89$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.81 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Grizzlies | 56c | 581.73$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.96 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 556.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.7 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Mavericks | 45c | 542$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.9 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadca…b3b3backed Mavericks | 50c | 536$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks | 46c | 521.83$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.04 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c6…d5a5backed Grizzlies | 50c | 498$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc9…bbbbbacked Mavericks | 50c | 496$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c9…0dbdbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 490$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…a721backed Grizzlies | 50c | 490$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…de15backed Grizzlies | 50c | 488$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b6…5fe3backed Grizzlies | 50c | 486$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Mavericks | 48c | 482.12$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.65 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…2174backed Mavericks | 50c | 482$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5daa…ce17backed Grizzlies | 50c | 482$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…5ef4backed Grizzlies | 51c | 481$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7316…d5e3backed Mavericks | 50c | 480$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…bf29backed Mavericks | 50c | 474$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6e…4b7cbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 474$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…8e93backed Mavericks | 49c | 472$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…c4c2backed Mavericks | 50c | 468$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf7…f643backed Mavericks | 50c | 468$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f2…3ad4backed Grizzlies | 50c | 468$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…6009backed Grizzlies | 50c | 468$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5f…d58abacked Mavericks | 51c | 466$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0816…5e16backed Grizzlies | 49c | 466$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…b57cbacked Mavericks | 50c | 464$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cf…3cdbbacked Mavericks | 50c | 460$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…b7c2backed Mavericks | 50c | 458$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0afc…3638backed Grizzlies | 50c | 454$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…69d9backed Mavericks | 50c | 452$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…378fbacked Mavericks | 50c | 452$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7868…54cabacked Grizzlies | 50c | 451$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…e231backed Grizzlies | 50c | 448$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f1…a23ebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 442$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa694…13c6backed Mavericks | 50c | 440$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d68…729abacked Mavericks | 50c | 440$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87d…ce6dbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 434$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b82…af74backed Mavericks | 50c | 434$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…e3e3backed Mavericks | 51c | 431$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 430.89$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.15 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e7…11c6backed Mavericks | 50c | 430$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…fb8ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 430$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…4d20backed Grizzlies | 49c | 427$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5d…e076backed Grizzlies | 50c | 426$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Mavericks | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8c…35f4backed Grizzlies | 50c | 424$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…13a6backed Grizzlies | 50c | 424$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc53…5806backed Mavericks | 50c | 422$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…f3d1backed Mavericks | 51c | 421$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x828a…a900backed Grizzlies | 50c | 418$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…1c09backed Mavericks | 50c | 418$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks | 44c | 414.98$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.56 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…ad52backed Mavericks | 50c | 412$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ba…d9edbacked Mavericks | 50c | 412$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…779bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 412$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…e876backed Grizzlies | 50c | 404$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…49cbbacked Mavericks | 50c | 402$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889a…dacdbacked Mavericks | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Grizzlies | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…849ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e61ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 398$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…2e54backed Grizzlies | 50c | 396$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf134…7b46backed Grizzlies | 50c | 394$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…415bbacked Mavericks | 49c | 390$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…b149backed Grizzlies | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9a…b125backed Grizzlies | 50c | 384$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1b…2ab9backed Grizzlies | 50c | 384$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5c…1b23backed Grizzlies | 50c | 384$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…67b6backed Grizzlies | 50c | 384$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e2…3afabacked Mavericks | 50c | 384$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…4388backed Mavericks | 50c | 382$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889b…b2cbbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 381$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe5…d741backed Mavericks | 50c | 374$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4a…f0d9backed Grizzlies | 49c | 374$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…0278backed Grizzlies | 50c | 370$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…d503backed Mavericks | 50c | 368$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85d…7d36backed Grizzlies | 50c | 366$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…e646backed Mavericks | 50c | 366$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Mavericks | 43c | 360.8$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.14 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks | 47c | 360.65$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b6…d58bbacked Mavericks | 49c | 358$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e10…beb4backed Grizzlies | 50c | 358$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…9898backed Grizzlies | 50c | 358$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…2a74backed Grizzlies | 50c | 358$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…6430backed Mavericks | 50c | 354$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…7dbdbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 352$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e3…af74backed Mavericks | 51c | 351$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…4f48backed Mavericks | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)this page
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 15.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. MavericksGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5Under won
- Khris Middleton: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Khris Middleton: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Khris Middleton: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 16.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)Grizzlies won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.