NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76b6976e4836965baf7c079520a6ede3b364e5e77f33f6326a15fa342b8990be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 7,455$3,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,586.7 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2a…5691backed Over | 50c | 6,431$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6f…81b9backed Under | 50c | 3,100$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5438…c475backed Under | 50c | 2,900$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b7…5facbacked Over | 52c | 1,895$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce7…e812backed Under | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 49c | 1,857$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.51 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Over | 56c | 1,107$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.14 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Over | 51c | 971.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 961$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.72 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Over | 53c | 935.79$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 914.63$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.54 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 910.99$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.71 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 818$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.36 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 613.22$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.36 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Under | 50c | 512$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 51c | 456$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.56 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…ce09backed Under | 50c | 431.38$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 48c | 400$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…a571backed Over | 50c | 400$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 48c | 320$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 70c | 314.8$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 29c | 283.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 49c | 270$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.7 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 268.35$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.18 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 256.26$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 50c | 200.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 51c | 193$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 49c | 183.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 178.15$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.47 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…9783backed Over | 56c | 175.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 52c | 151.88$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 63c | 140.5$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 139.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 37c | 133.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 36c | 122.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 22c | 100.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 52c | 92.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 64c | 88.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 54c | 86.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 44c | 84.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 52c | 83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 214 | 59.3%127 W · 87 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 51c | 68.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 68c | 61.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Over | 49c | 52.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 68c | 46.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542d…63aebacked Under | 49c | 40.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…9471backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…3c16backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 43c | 38.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6c…00e1backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 50c | 31.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Under | 62c | 28.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 50c | 26.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 51c | 22.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48dc…1b03backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 74c | 14.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5this page
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 15.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. MavericksGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5Under won
- Khris Middleton: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Khris Middleton: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Khris Middleton: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 16.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)Grizzlies won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.