NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Jets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec4683a18506bff661d2e2109b97f4c4b20e9da42c2dd74b2f9a8eb525c280b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $620,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $620,387 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 44c | 413,777$181,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181,992.87 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 56c | 200,000$112,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,000 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 44c | 139,028$61,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,172.32 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 56c | 136,954$76,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,259.72 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 56c | 113,636$63,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,999.84 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 56c | 49,703$27,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,889.52 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Under | 56c | 34,200$19,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,048 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 44c | 11,364$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 57c | 6,602$3,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.16 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 56c | 5,423$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.23 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.01 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 55c | 3,958$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.93 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Under | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 56c | 2,900$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 56c | 1,900$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.95 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 45c | 1,670$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.89 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 58c | 1,542$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.14 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 56c | 1,378$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.68 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.79 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 42c | 1,210$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.86 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 56c | 1,092$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.48 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 59c | 915.51$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.28 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Under | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 56c | 678.57$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.57 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Over | 45c | 677.02$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.66 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 57c | 485.37$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.71 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 56c | 469$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.36 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Under | 57c | 429.82$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.82 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 56c | 389.11$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.86 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 44c | 375$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 56c | 365.92$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.81 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 45c | 325$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Over | 45c | 296$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 481 | 57.2%275 W · 206 L | +21.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Over | 45c | 291.94$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 321 | 55.5%178 W · 143 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Over | 45c | 291.11$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 331 | 54.1%179 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 274$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.82 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 44c | 270.79$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Over | 45c | 253.09$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.89 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over | 45c | 232$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Over | 45c | 219.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4008…2942backed Over | 45c | 213.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 44c | 208.53$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.75 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…caaabacked Over | 45c | 192$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x043c…595fbacked Under | 56c | 186.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 45c | 179.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 43c | 177.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Under | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Over | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2e…7913backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Over | 45c | 165.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Over | 45c | 163.64$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Over | 45c | 154.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 243 | 52.3%127 W · 116 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Over | 45c | 149.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Over | 45c | 145.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Over | 45c | 144.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 45c | 139.01$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 45c | 138.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 44c | 138.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…f9e3backed Over | 45c | 136.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…5ce2backed Over | 45c | 135.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…65c3backed Over | 45c | 135.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 45c | 135.89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 38c | 125$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Over | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 285 | 50.2%143 W · 142 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Under | 56c | 118.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 44c | 118.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…c578backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Under | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb36d…de27backed Under | 56c | 97.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 59c | 93.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Over | 45c | 90.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…b6d0backed Under | 56c | 88.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +49%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…c759backed Over | 45c | 77.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 55c | 77.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 24c | 75.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…0144backed Over | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Over | 43c | 72.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f5…5c6cbacked Over | 45c | 67.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Under | 56c | 65.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 41c | 57.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 35c | 56.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13b3…e83abacked Over | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 63c | 54.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed Over | 45c | 53.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 60c | 51.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c94…1f7dbacked Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Jets: O/U 6.5this page
- Lightning vs. JetsJets won
- Lightning vs. Jets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Jets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.