NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Jets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b1756678abc3f94fdb8449b17a7c38242da82773a690ebdb9861a350c08f148
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Lightning, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,048 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Jets | 35c | 37,177$13,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,165.13 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Lightning | 65c | 30,000$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,500 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Jets | 36c | 14,992$5,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,595.11 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Lightning | 64c | 14,701$9,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,408.35 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Lightning | 64c | 13,651$8,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,770.98 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jets | 36c | 12,996$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,275.91 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 64c | 11,070$7,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,032.64 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Jets | 36c | 11,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,040 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Jets | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.98 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Lightning | 17c | 8,035$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Lightning | 64c | 8,000$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,120 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lightning | 64c | 7,871$5,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,076.4 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Lightning | 8c | 7,384$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.18 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Jets | 35c | 6,626$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,306.76 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Lightning | 65c | 6,529$4,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,244 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jets | 35c | 6,375$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.48 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Jets | 35c | 5,752$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,738.55 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Jets | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Jets | 36c | 4,500$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Lightning | 64c | 4,485$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.46 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lightning | 65c | 4,444$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.6 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Jets | 36c | 4,375$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.27 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Jets | 35c | 4,207$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.47 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859e…d21fbacked Lightning | 63c | 4,100$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…4e80backed Jets | 37c | 4,100$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Lightning | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Lightning | 65c | 3,977$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Lightning | 62c | 3,206$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.92 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Jets | 35c | 3,100$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.99 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Lightning | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0453…0977backed Lightning | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…49e8backed Jets | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Jets | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.99 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Jets | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.78 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88eb…9394backed Lightning | 17c | 2,635$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Lightning | 5c | 2,626$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.96 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Jets | 38c | 2,600$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Jets | 35c | 2,555$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.64 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Jets | 36c | 2,534$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.59 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lightning | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.97 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lightning | 16c | 2,420$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.94 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Lightning | 65c | 2,369$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Lightning | 65c | 2,340$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.21 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Jets | 36c | 2,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Jets | 44c | 2,146$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.89 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Jets | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Lightning | 8c | 1,999$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.45 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +79%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jets | 36c | 1,999$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.35 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Lightning | 64c | 1,875$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Jets | 79c | 1,823$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.68 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Lightning | 63c | 1,589$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Lightning | 64c | 1,567$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jets | 36c | 1,567$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.9 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Lightning | 65c | 1,535$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.75 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Jets | 37c | 1,516$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.2 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets | 36c | 1,460$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.21 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Lightning | 65c | 1,429$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.57 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Lightning | 8c | 1,253$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jets | 37c | 1,220$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.66 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jets | 74c | 1,210$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.34 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed Jets | 36c | 1,200$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.99 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jets | 53c | 1,149$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.33 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Lightning | 64c | 1,140$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.04 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Lightning | 15c | 1,071$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.66 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0016backed Jets | 37c | 1,060$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 37cpaid | +174%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Lightning | 65c | 1,027$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.63 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84e…f1dbbacked Lightning | 64c | 1,010$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Lightning | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Lightning | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddec…0015backed Jets | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…16fbbacked Lightning | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc829…cad3backed Lightning | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Jets | 36c | 999.92$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.95 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Lightning | 40c | 956.41$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.88 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Jets | 54c | 931.35$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.94 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Jets | 37c | 896.57$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.82 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Lightning | 32c | 834.71$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.85 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76cb…83cfbacked Jets | 37c | 830$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…b24abacked Jets | 37c | 820$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Jets | 37c | 800$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Lightning | 64c | 787.97$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.3 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Lightning | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Lightning | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Lightning | 17c | 762.06$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lightning | 64c | 758.87$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.68 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed Jets | 36c | 699.3$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.55 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lightning | 64c | 687$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.68 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Jets | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.68 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lightning | 64c | 674.62$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.76 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Lightning | 63c | 649.86$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.41 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee0…94c7backed Lightning | 64c | 640$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Lightning | 50c | 617.08$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.06 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6950…86a1backed Lightning | 64c | 613.61$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.71 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Jets | 36c | 600$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lightning | 48c | 595.1$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.08 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Lightning | 64c | 594$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.66 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Lightning | 64c | 562.5$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jets | 62c | 545.05$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.54 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lightning | 42c | 523.63$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.65 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Lightning | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Jetsthis page
- Lightning vs. Jets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Jets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.