Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43193f1d434786a3f32fadc77ef5d2a34d83901d6387ed184952a4e47bb34b16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,465,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,872,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,465,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,560 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd70…ccdbbacked No | 51c | 713,965$362,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362,767.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 52c | 270,400$140,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140,373.46 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 65c | 267,274$173,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,454.91 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 50c | 233,420$115,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,609.88 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 51c | 145,171$74,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,433.69 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 51c | 123,698$63,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,458.76 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 51c | 116,699$59,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,992.19 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Yes | 51c | 99,019$50,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,519.36 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 47c | 88,156$41,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,722.88 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 52c | 81,215$42,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,075.74 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 53c | 64,000$33,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,920 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 51c | 61,458$31,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,114.25 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 50c | 59,470$29,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,734.86 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 58,711$28,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,092.44 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd414…6a0cbacked No | 49c | 47,340$23,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,270.09 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 48c | 47,300$22,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,596 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 49c | 44,433$21,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,896.38 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Yes | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,799.99 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…d5f4backed Yes | 50c | 39,200$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e6…5448backed No | 52c | 38,878$20,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,353.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 36,118$18,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,039.8 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 49c | 35,342$17,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,305.07 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 53c | 33,451$17,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,759.33 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 70c | 32,968$23,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,918.87 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 51c | 29,608$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,607.84 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 51c | 28,872$14,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,823.87 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 49c | 28,717$13,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,718.58 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,749.93 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes | 50c | 24,191$12,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,140.65 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 47c | 23,717$11,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,667.05 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…d09dbacked Yes | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +126.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 49c | 19,670$9,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,106.89 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 51c | 18,766$9,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,195.88 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 49c | 17,000$8,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,319.93 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 48c | 16,046$7,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,292.66 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 50c | 15,973$7,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,986.5 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…f893backed No | 51c | 14,862$7,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,586.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 49c | 13,789$6,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,756.44 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No | 52c | 12,846$6,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,680 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 50c | 12,519$6,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,259.37 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 49c | 12,385$6,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,304.68 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…d177backed Yes | 51c | 11,649$5,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,653.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Yes | 49c | 11,466$5,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,845.68 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 49c | 11,272$5,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,523.26 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 49c | 11,037$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,637.41 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 49c | 11,000$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,560 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 52c | 11,000$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,749.97 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 50c | 10,917$5,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,434.09 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 51c | 10,739$5,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280.24 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Yes | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Yes | 50c | 10,000$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,001.85 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 52c | 9,859$5,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,078.01 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…0fa2backed Yes | 49c | 9,808$4,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,002.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Yes | 47c | 9,000$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,739.96 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed No | 54c | 8,924$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed No | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.98 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 51c | 7,796$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820.06 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 48c | 7,577$3,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.32 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed No | 52c | 7,500$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 7,045$3,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,670.47 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 53c | 7,011$3,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,715.88 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Yes | 48c | 6,975$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,627 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 48c | 6,804$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.36 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 50c | 6,500$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Yes | 49c | 6,259$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.28 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4e…4f43backed Yes | 74c | 5,658$4,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.65 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed No | 50c | 5,604$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed Yes | 52c | 5,559$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.89 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 52c | 5,213$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.61 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 49c | 5,207$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 49c | 5,156$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.87 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 49c | 5,000$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed No | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.93 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Yes | 47c | 4,900$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.94 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8394…b722backed Yes | 51c | 4,880$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.77 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…9e54backed Yes | 50c | 4,662$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 48c | 4,560$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.42 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 21c | 4,402$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.36 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 48c | 4,267$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.55 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 52c | 4,159$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.21 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2511…98f4backed Yes | 51c | 4,091$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed Yes | 50c | 4,049$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed Yes | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.94 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed Yes | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 49c | 3,577$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.56 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb30a…7fc3backed Yes | 50c | 3,462$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.49 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Yes | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.83 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.83 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 50c | 3,253$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.52 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?this page
- Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.