TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$433,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$455,456

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $433,149 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes26c187,198$48,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,671.4215344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No74c163,431$120,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,491.9727750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No73c36,365$26,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,818.538940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes26c27,944$7,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,265.5735941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No76c18,722$14,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,493.212286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+52.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No74c13,532$9,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,545.872,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c9,729$2,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,901.046,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b59…13cdbacked No74c9,444$6,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.381392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick74cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No74c8,340$6,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.2851750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes27c7,518$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.867332.9%24 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No74c6,000$4,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5601,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30013444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c4,570$3,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.41,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Yes7c4,324$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No77c4,236$3,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.551,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes27c3,889$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed No74c3,811$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.865754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x837c…5771backed Yes27c3,704$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00070%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c3,693$2,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.831,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes27c3,597$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.124431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No74c3,547$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.1885048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No79c3,480$2,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.7746943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes17c3,376$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.6222458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes4c3,257$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1110540%42 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7803658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d99…8c95backed Yes25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8db9…c73bbacked No49c3,000$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No74c2,900$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7543971.8%28 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1872…9ba9backed Yes27c2,696$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes39c2,554$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.675246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Yes18c2,409$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4444641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4219…7855backed Yes27c2,019$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Yes50c2,014$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Yes17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3402733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No74c1,985$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.1818259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No74c1,536$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.6116050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes19c1,494$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.813360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No73c1,426$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.942875%21 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126136.1%22 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Yes25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-77.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No75c1,190$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.52962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x363e…b78bbacked Yes39c1,169$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.61966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8260…eb17backed Yes26c1,146$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.05850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45fb…aad0backed Yes27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes27c1,095$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.656150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c1,077$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.972,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa43…22f3backed Yes26c1,065$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2773250%16 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No74c999.94$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9813151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed No72c999.31$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.333554.3%19 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No74c918$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6821253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb700…b06bbacked Yes26c915.38$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2381330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes17c912.75$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.189035.6%32 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b20…de61backed No74c782.66$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.491457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No79c675$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5816548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019441.8%81 W · 113 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e0…132abacked Yes21c664.66$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.721643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No74c601.93$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.523250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes27c600$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16223258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No74c599.98$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15632453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4e…4f43backed Yes27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503339.4%13 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed No74c515.81$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.112759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b7b…f0dfbacked Yes26c511.54$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x394c…158cbacked No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d98…84cabacked Yes22c482.29$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.722540%10 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes26c474$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6138233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes27c470.37$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1420758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No74c468.31$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7675850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x177c…bcd1backed Yes9c466.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-57.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Yes27c449.7$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.426245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes26c442.25$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.993540%14 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Yes48c416.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed No51c406.3$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.221136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1048831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c3…20b7backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes25c393.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edd…21f8backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes26c381$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0628242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes26c378$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.282948.3%14 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes27c343.22$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6712236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No74c329.38$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.642272.7%16 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick72cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed Yes50c312.06$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.031560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7830050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336720.9%14 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Yes27c296.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Yes27c295.52$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.795143.1%22 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes19c289.47$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes27c288.4$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8710232.4%33 W · 69 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.