TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,079,087

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,079,087 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under48c528,683$253,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275,567.5520354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over53c400,000$210,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210,00039047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Under48c240,000$115,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124,800.2567051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over53c131,137$69,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,006.421,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over52c100,363$52,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,188.4240351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over52c41,745$21,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,707.1736748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over53c26,866$14,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,168.481,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Over52c17,765$9,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,237.84365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over52c15,225$7,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,914.921,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over52c11,723$6,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,095.9521850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over53c7,282$3,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,859.266640.9%27 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Under48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.984949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c5,455$2,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,842.791,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60021555.3%119 W · 96 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.125050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over53c4,200$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,21434845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c3,975$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,110.322,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Over53c3,855$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over52c3,333$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.167949.4%39 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Over53c3,000$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58021048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over52c2,180$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.4791653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over52c2,001$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.4383149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0403345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over53c1,804$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.943456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6094…e860backed Over55c1,600$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over53c1,415$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over33c1,215$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.287838.5%30 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over53c1,102$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.0626551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over53c641.51$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8487…a68bbacked Over41c608.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502552%13 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31832648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Over53c590$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.79149.5%45 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under45c565.55$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.4659450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over52c505.3$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.763641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over35c502.98$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.482,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26532451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Over52c420.83$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.8311250%56 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f03…ed48backed Over53c419.91$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.55757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa330…9d33backed Over53c417.53$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.373363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Under48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.674742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Over53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21230946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1deb…472fbacked Over53c367.05$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1953554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Under47c313.81$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.3211855.9%66 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe86…6763backed Over53c302.68$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.421457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15935349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over52c299.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15676450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7171…81f7backed Under49c282.11$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9727652.2%144 W · 132 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over37c252.64$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.482,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over52c251.21$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6322352.9%118 W · 105 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under59c237.6$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.693,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over20c228.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1665721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9868…2767backed Under50c201.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.145046%23 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under50c200.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.74755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d54…a756backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10815054%81 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10430447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f96…123cbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003040%12 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over54c162.96$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8869653.4%372 W · 324 L-16.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Over54c143.68$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.968144.4%36 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over53c129.63$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.78653.5%46 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under47c127.64$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6578651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d9…5d05backed Under48c121.65$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.261136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…bce5backed Under47c115.05$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.98977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+86%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x808d…f5debacked Over53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7094…a734backed Under47c105.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9317…6e69backed Under47c105.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb36d…de27backed Over52c104.71$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1730951.1%158 W · 151 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Over13c103$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.39728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under48c102.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.073053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe011…b555backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Under48c101.56$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.813145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under68c98$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3662951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f37…9b2bbacked Under47c93.58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under72c91.46$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.31,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Over54c90$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.66855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Over38c86.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.064156.1%23 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under48c85.09$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.252055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under48c83.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.322347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Over53c79.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427361.6%45 W · 28 L+10.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+29.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over53c65.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.598457.1%48 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under48c64.93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9911650.9%59 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under46c61.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3256152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03b3…a917backed Under49c59.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.36757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a56…3396backed Over45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf52f…b2f5backed Over52c55.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.012352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Under48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0813648.5%66 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.511258%65 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Under46c48.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1113053.8%70 W · 60 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over54c44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.546842.6%29 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc046…f138backed Under47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5510355.3%57 W · 46 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b0f…e949backed Over52c42.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.144158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.674858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6710657.5%61 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under56c40.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1660449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…569fbacked Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cc6…31d3backed Over52c38.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.