NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81580650377e199eaed214c9052616278e0c9c2be20a38caf460177b396cce70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Utah, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $727,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $727,159 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 539 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flyers | 47c | 240,530$114,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,043.25 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Utah | 52c | 132,391$69,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,223.9 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Utah | 53c | 65,155$34,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,622.95 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flyers | 41c | 38,504$15,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,755.49 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Utah | 53c | 33,971$18,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,966.37 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Utah | 52c | 22,004$11,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,530.95 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Utah | 52c | 17,996$9,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,638.07 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Utah | 53c | 11,643$6,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,472.36 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flyers | 47c | 10,500$4,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,934.99 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Utah | 54c | 10,000$5,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,627.99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Flyers | 47c | 9,953$4,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,677.81 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Utah | 53c | 9,430$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,432.08 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Flyers | 45c | 8,926$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,016.7 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Utah | 57c | 8,308$4,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,541.53 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Utah | 53c | 8,186$4,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,847.25 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Utah | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Flyers | 45c | 6,362$2,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.85 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Flyers | 45c | 6,318$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.1 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flyers | 46c | 5,241$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.03 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Utah | 55c | 5,007$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.99 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Utah | 55c | 4,129$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.78 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flyers | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.97 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah | 53c | 3,846$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.32 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Flyers | 48c | 3,646$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Utah | 53c | 3,410$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.7 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Flyers | 48c | 3,400$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Flyers | 47c | 3,389$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.69 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…5334backed Flyers | 45c | 3,310$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x159b…6cddbacked Utah | 55c | 3,210$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Utah | 53c | 3,178$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.02 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah | 72c | 3,043$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.4 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Utah | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.07 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Flyers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.99 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Utah | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.96 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Utah | 55c | 2,963$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.31 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flyers | 45c | 2,918$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.73 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Utah | 54c | 2,900$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Utah | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Flyers | 47c | 2,640$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.8 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Utah | 53c | 2,555$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.84 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Flyers | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…0de5backed Utah | 55c | 2,340$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde52…9d3abacked Flyers | 45c | 2,300$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Flyers | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…88acbacked Flyers | 46c | 2,013$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Flyers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Flyers | 45c | 1,873$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.72 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd611…24fdbacked Utah | 56c | 1,804$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cb…8f9ebacked Flyers | 45c | 1,804$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Flyers | 1c | 1,772$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Flyers | 46c | 1,666$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.12 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Flyers | 45c | 1,629$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.03 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed Flyers | 45c | 1,501$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.34 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Flyers | 45c | 1,401$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.32 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Flyers | 46c | 1,290$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Flyers | 33c | 1,229$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Utah | 55c | 1,155$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.75 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Utah | 53c | 1,111$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.17 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Flyers | 3c | 1,096$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Utah | 53c | 1,091$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.15 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Flyers | 46c | 1,073$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.64 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Flyers | 47c | 1,020$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.3 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…1b84backed Utah | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Flyers | 46c | 1,000$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.67 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed Flyers | 43c | 945.86$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Utah | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Utah | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Utah | 55c | 907.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.16 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…5da0backed Utah | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Flyers | 46c | 900$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Flyers | 45c | 888.88$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Flyers | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Utah | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Utah | 53c | 796.33$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.24 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Utah | 51c | 795.57$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.67 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…db66backed Flyers | 46c | 730$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…9bdabacked Utah | 54c | 729.87$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.74 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee0…94c7backed Flyers | 46c | 720$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Utah | 53c | 710$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.7 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…762bbacked Utah | 55c | 710$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…0d61backed Utah | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Utah | 54c | 693.14$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.82 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah | 72c | 692.46$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.23 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Flyers | 13c | 690.92$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb84e…f1dbbacked Utah | 55c | 690$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da0…13bebacked Utah | 55c | 680$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…d0cfbacked Flyers | 47c | 675.23$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…b9e1backed Flyers | 46c | 673.91$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…d4d2backed Flyers | 46c | 670$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76cb…83cfbacked Flyers | 46c | 660$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Flyers | 34c | 645.8$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.35 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Flyers | 35c | 631.64$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.54 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Flyers | 46c | 610$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…7b22backed Utah | 55c | 602.46$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Utah | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Flyers | 48c | 574.17$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.6 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Utah | 53c | 566.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.03 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Utah | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Flyers | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Utah | 54c | 518.52$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.52 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Flyersthis page
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Utah won
- Utah vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Utah vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Utah vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Utah vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.