TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Torino FC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$580,643
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$410,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $580,643 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86bc…d7eabacked Yes33c239,978$79,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,219.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a8c…4449backed Yes33c237,378$78,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,362.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes33c30,403$10,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,125.5868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No66c15,000$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.99825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes33c12,507$4,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,182.0998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c12,493$4,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,227.892,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No66c10,000$6,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,378.943860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f5e…58efbacked No67c4,020$2,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No68c3,063$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.054971.4%35 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No68c3,041$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.043253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes6c1,980$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.111,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No67c1,979$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.021833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes34c1,780$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.1934643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No67c1,644$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.0541854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes33c1,603$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.5440549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes33c1,055$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.0533148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea99…f13ebacked Yes26c980$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes33c924.24$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.4835646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes34c521.85$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17633951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…9ed6backed Yes33c449.91$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5be…f2dbbacked Yes33c426.35$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.730%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes32c411.3$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.626331.7%20 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9f1…c92bbacked Yes33c404.49$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes6c346.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9516838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No66c338$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.922236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes33c303$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9941943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9621445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No66c298.43$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4844753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x876f…4f66backed No68c236$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.527100%7 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x62da…2fdabacked Yes33c227.27$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb792…fa38backed Yes35c214.37$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.03862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe49a…f498backed Yes35c203.34$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.17650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd0f…27d7backed No68c194$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+38.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe79…02ccbacked No68c187$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.846100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x765c…f214backed No68c182.24$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c14…c5fdbacked No68c177.26$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes34c176.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1223244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes26c173.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc77d…aa76backed No68c173$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.366100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x932a…9c18backed No68c172.31$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5358…44e8backed Yes8c168.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8288…f291backed No68c168.36$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…2354backed No68c154$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.287100%7 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes23c148.07$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5da…3557backed No68c145.06$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.42366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No74c135.82$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.249137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…f6d7backed No68c135.08$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No69c122$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8248144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed Yes17c114.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196569.2%45 W · 20 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes10c104.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3849850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…fbfebacked No66c104$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x595d…c131backed Yes28c103.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-58.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26c9…3aedbacked No68c101.05$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x016d…7f42backed No68c100.34$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3326747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47bc…5bf1backed No68c99.05$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc50b…6cc6backed Yes34c97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed92…fbf2backed Yes35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes33c83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.765254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes23c73.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2512929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Yes33c72.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb36d…de27backed No67c65.01$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5e…d655backed No67c61.4$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Yes34c60.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.64837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2371…4d2dbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2400…922cbacked Yes33c60.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08b5…a429backed No68c55.78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdf…5bddbacked Yes25c53.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6680%0 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes25c51.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes24c46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0152748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes33c46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.181330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes33c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.858042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes32c45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4939354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb653…f400backed Yes34c43.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No70c41.92$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5429862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No75c39.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8231958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf10…557ebacked Yes34c38.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x449e…4f8ebacked No67c37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.082166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c60…b749backed Yes33c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No65c33.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.649857.1%56 W · 42 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No67c32.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8613160.3%79 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f14…c845backed No76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.892965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f5b…ba31backed Yes35c31.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes35c31.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17ad…9636backed Yes33c30.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0270%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.910957.8%63 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Yes34c29.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0821251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes35c29.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3117948%86 W · 93 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8042…9c34backed No67c29.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed No74c27.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.971752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No67c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2514255.6%79 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.